Dogecoin (DOGE) price has formed a rounding bottom chart pattern, which often signals strong bullish reversals. At press time, Dogecoin price trades at $0.189, with a 6% decline in 24 hours as the broader market recorded losses on June 12. Daily trading volumes had dropped by 12%, by $1.4 billion, indicating a decline in market interest.

Dogecoin Price Analysis as Bullish Pattern Emerges

Dogecoin price has formed a rounding bottom pattern on the weekly chart. This is a reversal pattern that shows a trend is about to shift to a bullish one. According to this chart, this pattern has been forming since December 2024. If this rounding bottom plays out and pushes DOGE price past the neckline resistance level, the ensuing rally could move it past $0.23 and create an 84% surge to $0.44.

The odds of a Dogecoin price rally are also increasing after the Money Flow Index (MFI) crossed above the 50 level. The crossover indicates a positive shift in capital inflows to this meme coin as buy-side volumes begin to rise. A confirmed crossover above 50 and the formation of higher highs will signal accumulation that gives way for a bullish breakout.

The MFI crossover above 50 also comes before a confirmed move above the neckline resistance of this rounding bottom. This reinforces a potential DOGE breakout to higher levels.

However, the ADX line tips south, which signals weakness as the uptrend towards the resistance level loses momentum. This may cause some sideways movements in Dogecoin price, especially if the MFI is rejected again at 50, as it happened on May 12.

Key Levels to Watch

The most crucial resistance level to watch as Dogecoin price targets a potential 84% rally is the neckline level of $0.23, which could determine whether the price surges by 84%.

The other crucial level to watch is the zone between $0.31 and $0.35. Past data shows that traders took profits at this zone in early January, forming a crucial resistance. Therefore, even if Dogecoin clears the neckline hurdle, it has to rise above this zone before the rally to $0.44.

Meanwhile, a decline below the rounding bottom’s support of $0.14 will invalidate the bearish outlook. Breaching this support could accelerate the downtrend to the zone at around $0.11.

Dogecoin’s Whale Holdings Hit 24.98 Billion ATH

Large addresses or whales may already be positioning for a strong upward move as the deadline for a spot DOGE ETF approaches. Addresses holding between 10 million and 100 million DOGE tokens have scooped up 320 million tokens in the last seven days. Following this purchase, the addresses now hold 24.98 billion tokens, which is an all-time high.

This steady accumulation by whales is also happening alongside a rise in the Mean Dollar Invested Age (MDIA) for the last six months. When this metric is rising, it shows that investors are confident in the short-term outlook and the long-term Dogecoin price prediction, and they are not looking to sell.

This on-chain data, according to Santiment data, is bullish for Dogecoin as it signals that the meme coin is in an accumulation phase. This makes a breakout rally likely to occur despite the broader market posting declines.