Bearish pressure has halted Dogecoin’s renewed upward momentum after the market gained traction a few days ago, bringing its price just below the $0.20 level. While DOGE struggles with the pullback, many participants are still holding on to the meme coin, reflecting robust confidence in its potential.

Dogecoin: Crucial Metric Shows $0.20 Is Key For Next Move

Dogecoin is encountering difficulties in bouncing back up, and crucial metrics are highlighting critical levels that could influence its subsequent actions. World-leading on-chain data and financial platform Glassnode has shed light on a notable trend in Dogecoin’s supply metrics.

In an update on Friday, Glassnode began by examining the Dogecoin UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) metric. The data from this key metric reveals that over 7% of DOGE’s supply is clustered at the $0.20 level, rendering it the third-largest capital cluster after $0.17 and $0.07.

Furthermore, large capital inflows were recorded at this level on January 22, although wallets likely purchased DOGE earlier, increasing their cost basis. Presently, the $0.20 mark could pose an obstacle to price increases in the short term. In the event that this level is breached, there will not be much DOGE available until the next significant URPD cluster at $0.31.

The platform highlighted that a sharp leg-up is more likely to occur because of this gap, considering there is less resistance between them. Thus, Glassnode has hinted at a possible breakout when volume picks up.

Highlighting another interesting development, Glassnode went on to examine the Dogecoin HODL Waves metric. The analysis revealed that about 15% of DOGE’s supply was last moved 6 to 12 months ago. This shift was clocked among holders who purchased the meme coin ahead of the November-December rally last year and are still holding on to the asset.

This behavior among these investors indicates a strong conviction in the prospects of the meme coin.

Crucially, the 3-6M HODL Waves began to rise since the beginning of March, suggesting significant purchases by many investors during the bounce from $0.32 to $0.41 in January. However, should prices recover at these levels, some would attempt to sell at a break-even point, posing an obstacle to DOGE’s performance.

Spot-Driven DOGE Futures Volume

In other developments, Glassnode’s analysis also covered DOGE Futures Open Interest (OI) performance in the last few days. Currently, Dogecoin’s futures open interest is valued at $1 billion compared to the average for November/December of over $3 billion.

Additionally, the 7-day SMA of futures volume is recovering from the bottom, remaining close to October 2024 levels, which is majorly driven by spot rather than speculative leverage. While futures volume has risen, DOGE Funding Rates have dropped close to neutral over the past 2 days, reflecting another reason that the rally is more spot-driven and not by excessive long positioning.

Given the positive advancements, Dogecoin’s price might recover its upward movements shortly. Crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade revealed that DOGE is breaking out of a 3-month Descending Trendline, signaling its potential for a short-term rally.