Dogecoin Whales脱离风险，Doge Price有降低45％的危险

Key takeaways:

关键要点：

Dogecoin whales offload large volumes of DOGE, signaling risk aversion.
Dogecoin鲸鱼卸下大量的门，发出避免风险的信号。
Declining open interest and daily active addresses signal less demand for DOGE.
开放兴趣和每日主动地址的下降信号较少，对DOGE的需求较少。
DOGE’s rising wedge pattern signals a bearish reversal with a 45% price drop potential.
Doge的上升楔形图案标志着看跌逆转，价格下降了45％。

Dogecoin (DOGE) price has dropped by over 24% after hitting a multimonth high of $0.28 on July 21. As a result, the memecoin’s largest holders have been offloading DOGE during recent price declines, indicating their lack of confidence in a potential rebound in the coming weeks.

Dogecoin（Doge）的价格在7月21日达到了0.28美元的多个月高点后下跌了24％。结果，Memecoin的最大持有者在最近的价格下降期间一直在下车Doge，这表明他们在接下来的几周内对潜在篮板缺乏信心。

Dogecoin onchain metrics hint at further losses

Dogecoin Onchain指标暗示了进一步的损失

Investor interest in DOGE remains subdued based on derivatives data. Dogecoin’s futures open interest (OI) is down to $3.24 billion after peaking at $5.35 billion on July 22. An 8% decline since Sunday implies reduced speculative positioning and fewer traders betting on short-term price increases.

投资者对Doge的兴趣仍然根据衍生品数据而柔和。 Dogecoin的期货开放利息（OI）在7月22日达到高峰53.5亿美元后，下降到32.4亿美元。自周日以来，下降了8％，这意味着投机性的定位减少，而交易者却减少了短期价格上涨的赌注。

Wallets holding $10-$100 million DOGE have decreased by 6% since late July, Santiment data shows.

Santiment数据显示，持有10-1亿美元的载有10-1亿美元的钱包自7月下旬以来已减少了6％。

This reflects an earlier transaction flagged by Whale Alert that 900 million DOGE, worth over $200 million, was transferred to Binance by an unknown whale, raising concerns about short-term sell pressure.

这反映了鲸鱼警报标记的较早交易，即价值超过2亿美元的9亿多名由一条未知的鲸鱼转移到binance上，引起了对短期卖出压力的担忧。

Typically, when large holders distribute an asset while prices drop, it signals that they see risks of further declines.

通常，当大持有人在价格下跌时分配资产时，它表明他们看到进一步下降的风险。

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Meanwhile, the number of daily active addresses on the Dogecoin network has dropped significantly to 58,000 compared to a peak of 1.65 million in Q4/2024 and 674,500 in July, suggesting weak network activity.

同时，Dogecoin网络上的每日活动地址数量已显着下降到58,000，而第4/2024季度为165万，而7月份的674,500则峰值，这表明网络活动较弱。

A decrease in active addresses indicates lower user engagement on the network, possibly reflecting waning retail interest.

活动地址的减少表明网络上的用户参与度较低，可能反映了零售业的减弱。

DOGE rising wedge pattern targets $0.12

DOGE上升楔形模式目标$ 0.12

From a technical perspective, sell pressure on DOGE could gain significant downward momentum if it breaks below a rising wedge pattern.

从技术的角度来看，如果销售压力在楔形楔形模式下方，销售压力可能会获得显着的向下势头。

In technical analysis, a rising wedge is a bearish reversal chart pattern that comprises two converging trend lines that connect higher highs and higher lows. This convergence indicates that the bulls are losing momentum.

在技术分析中，上升的楔形是一种看跌的逆转图表模式，其中包括两种融合趋势线，它们连接了更高的高和更高的低点。这种融合表明公牛队正在失去动力。

DOGE price is currently retesting the support provided by the lower trendline of the wedge at $0.218.

Doge Price目前正在重新测试楔形线较低趋势线的支持，为0.218美元。

A break below this level will likely trigger a deeper drop in price, with a technical target of the wedge at $0.12, a 45% decrease from current prices.

低于此水平的休息可能会触发更深层次的价格下跌，而楔形的技术目标为0.12美元，比目前的价格下降了45％。

The relative strength index (RSI) also shows weakness, falling to 49 from overbought conditions at 85 on July 20, indicating that bearish momentum has been steadily building up.

相对强度指数（RSI）也表现出弱点，从7月20日的85岁的过分定价下降到49个，表明看跌势头一直在稳步增强。

As Cointelegraph reported, DOGE price must hold above the $0.19-$0.20 zone, or the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, to avoid further losses toward $0.16.

正如Cointelegraph所报道的那样，Doge价格必须以高于$ 0.19- $ 0.20的区域或100天和200天的移动平均值，以避免进一步的损失至0.16美元。

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

本文不包含投资建议或建议。每个投资和交易举动都涉及风险，读者在做出决定时应进行自己的研究。