Key points:
要点:
Bitcoin could rally to $115,000 and then to $120,000, but the upside looks capped in the near term if the whales continue to sell.
比特币可能会升至115,000美元,然后再达到120,000美元,但是如果鲸鱼继续出售,则在短期内限制了上升空间。
Select altcoins look strong and ready to break above their overhead resistance levels.
选择的AltCoins看起来很强大,并且准备超越其高架阻力水平。
Bitcoin (BTC) started the new week on a positive note with buyers attempting to sustain the price above $112,500, but the bears are unlikely to give up easily.
比特币(BTC)以积极的态度开始了新的一周,买家试图将价格维持在112,500美元以上,但熊不太可能轻易放弃。
Market participants will have to keep a close watch on the whale activity in the next few days. According to CryptoQuant data, whales have sold 114,920 BTC over the past month, the largest whale sell-off since July 2022. Analysts believe continued selling by the whales could cap BTC’s up move for the next few weeks.
市场参与者将不得不在接下来的几天内密切关注鲸鱼活动。根据加密数据,鲸鱼在过去一个月中售出了114,920 BTC,这是自2022年7月以来最大的鲸鱼抛售。分析师认为,鲸鱼继续卖出鲸鱼可能会在接下来的几周内销售BTC的行动。
On the downside, traders are closely watching the $100,000 level. Popular trader ZYN said in a post on X that BTC had bottomed at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level in Q3 2024 and Q2 2025 and that may happen again. ZYN expects the worst-case scenario to be a 10% drop near $100,000, “before a 50% rally above $150,000.”
不利的一面是,交易者正在密切关注100,000美元的水平。受欢迎的商人Zyn在X上的一篇文章中说,BTC的底部为第三季度2024和Q2 2025的0.382斐波那契反回试效中心,这可能会再次发生。 Zyn预计最糟糕的情况下降了10%,接近100,000美元,“在50%的集会高于150,000美元之前。”
Another negative for BTC in the near term is that demand from BTC treasury companies continues to fall. Michael Saylor’s Strategy, the world’s largest holder of Bitcoin, acquired roughly 7,714 BTC in August, significantly less than the 31,466 BTC purchased in July.
在短期内,BTC的另一个负面是,BTC财政公司的需求继续下降。迈克尔·塞勒(Michael Saylor)的策略是世界上最大的比特币持有人,在8月收购了约7,714 BTC,大约低于7月购买的31,466 BTC。
Other treasury companies bought 14,800 BTC in August, a considerably smaller quantity than their record-high purchase of 66,000 BTC in June.
其他财政公司在8月购买了14,800 BTC,其数量比6月份购买66,000 BTC的创纪录的数量要小得多。
Could BTC overcome its overhead resistance? Will select altcoins start a new up move? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
BTC可以克服其高架阻力吗?选择AltCoins会开始新的举动吗?让我们分析前10个加密货币的图表以找出答案。
S&P 500 Index price prediction
标准普尔500指数价格预测
The S&P 500 Index (SPX) made a new intraday all-time high on Friday, but the higher levels attracted profit booking.
标准普尔500指数(SPX)在周五有史以来新的盘中高度,但较高的水平吸引了利润预订。
The negative divergence on the relative strength index (RSI) suggests that the bullish momentum may be weakening. If sellers pull the price below the 50-day simple moving average (6,356), the index could start a deeper correction to the breakout level of 6,147.
相对强度指数(RSI)的负差异表明,看涨的动量可能正在减弱。如果卖方将价格提高到50天简单的移动平均值(6,356),则该指数可能会开始更深入的更正至6,147的突破水平。
On the other hand, if the price turns up from the moving averages, it suggests that the bullish sentiment remains intact. The buyers will then try to start the next leg of the uptrend to 6,700.
另一方面,如果价格从移动的平均值中提高,则表明看涨的情绪仍然完好无损。然后,买家将尝试将上下趋势的下一回合提高到6,700。
US Dollar Index price prediction
美元指数价格预测
Buyers failed to maintain the US Dollar Index (DXY) above the moving averages, indicating selling on rallies.
买家未能将美元指数(DXY)维持在移动平均值上方,这表明在集会上出售。
The bears will try to strengthen their position by pulling the price to 97.10 and then to the critical support at 96.37. Buyers are expected to fiercely defend the 96.37 support because a slide below it may sink the index to the 95 level.
熊队将试图通过将价格提高到97.10,然后在96.37的关键支持下提高自己的位置。预计买家将严厉捍卫96.37的支持,因为它以下幻灯片可能会使指数下降到95级。
Buyers will have to thrust the price above the 99 level to prevent the downside. If they manage to do that, the index could rally to 100.50 and eventually to the stiff overhead resistance at 102.
买家将不得不将价格推向99级以上,以防止下跌。如果他们设法这样做,则该指数可能会升至100.50,并最终达到102时僵硬的高架阻力。
Bitcoin price prediction
比特币价格预测
BTC broke above the 20-day exponential moving average ($111,902) on Monday, indicating that the bulls are signaling a comeback.
周一,BTC超过了20天的指数移动平均线(111,902美元),这表明公牛在卷土重来。
The BTC/USDT pair could rally to the 50-day SMA ($114,920), where the bears are expected to step in. However, if buyers drive the Bitcoin price above the 50-day SMA, the pair may form a range. The price could swing between $107,000 and $124,474 for a while longer.
BTC/USDT对可能会集结到50天的SMA($ 114,920),预计熊将介入。但是,如果买家将比特币价格以高于50天的SMA的速度驾驶,则这对可能会形成一个范围。价格可能会在107,000美元至124,474美元之间的价格更长的时间。
Alternatively, if the price turns down sharply from the current level or the 50-day SMA, it shows that the bears are trying to take charge. That increases the risk of a break below the $107,000 support. If that happens, the pair may collapse to $100,000.
另外,如果价格从当前水平或50天的SMA急剧下降,则表明熊正在试图负责。这增加了休息的风险低于107,000美元的支持。如果发生这种情况,两人可能会崩溃至100,000美元。
Ether price prediction
以太价格预测
ETH (ETH) has been trading near the 20-day EMA ($4,351) for the past few days, indicating uncertainty between the buyers and sellers.
在过去的几天里,ETH(ETH)一直在20天EMA(4,351美元)的交易中进行交易,这表明买卖双方之间的不确定性。
The $4,060 level is the crucial support on the downside. A break and close below $4,060 could attract profit-booking from the short-term bulls. That may sink the ETH/USDT pair to $3,745 and later to $3,350.
$ 4,060的水平是缺点的关键支持。休息时间低于$ 4,060,可以吸引短期公牛的利润预订。这可能会使ETH/USDT对降至3,745美元,然后将其倒入3,350美元。
On the upside, a break and close above $4,500 indicates that the bulls are back in the driver’s seat. The Ether price may then retest the overhead resistance of $4,956. A close above $4,956 opens the doors for a rally to $5,500.
从好的方面来说,休息时间超过4,500美元,这表明公牛又回到了驾驶员座位上。然后,以太价格可能会重新测试4,956美元的间接费用。高于$ 4,956的收盘价为Rally的大门打开,至5,500美元。
XRP price prediction
XRP价格预测
XRP (XRP) climbed above the 20-day EMA ($2.90) on Monday, and the price is nearing the downtrend line.
周一,XRP(XRP)爬上了20天的EMA(2.90美元),价格接近下降线。
Sellers are expected to defend the downtrend line vigorously because a break above it invalidates the bearish descending triangle pattern. That could trap the aggressive bears, pushing the XRP price to $3.40.
预计卖方会大力捍卫下降趋势线,因为它上面的突破使看跌的三角形模式无效。这可能会捕获激进的熊,将XRP价格推向3.40美元。
Contrarily, if the price turns down sharply from the downtrend line, it suggests that the XRP/USDT pair may remain inside the triangle for a while longer. The selling could intensify on a break below $2.73.
相反,如果价格从下降趋势线急剧下降,则表明XRP/USDT对可能会在三角形内部长时间保留一段时间。销售可能会加剧低于$ 2.73的休息时间。
BNB price prediction
BNB价格预测
BNB (BNB) turned up from the $840 support on Friday and rose above the $861 resistance on Sunday.
BNB(BNB)从周五的840美元支持中提升,周日的抵抗力高于861美元的抵抗力。
The up move may reach $900, where the bears are expected to mount a strong defense. If the price turns down from $900, but rebounds off the 20-day EMA ($855), it signals a positive sentiment. That improves the prospects of a break above $900. The BNB/USDT pair may then rally to $1,000.
上升的举动可能达到900美元,预计熊会在其中进行强有力的防守。如果价格从900美元降低,但从20天的EMA(855美元)中反弹,它表示积极的情绪。这提高了休息时间超过900美元的前景。 BNB/USDT对可能会集结至$ 1,000。
Conversely, if the price turns down from the current level or the overhead resistance and breaks below $840, it suggests that the bulls are rushing to the exit. The BNB price may slump to the 50-day SMA ($824) and, after that, to $794.
相反,如果价格从目前的水平或高架阻力下降,并且在840美元以下中断了,则表明公牛队正在赶到出口。 BNB的价格可能会跌至50天的SMA($ 824),此后,价格可能低至794美元。
Solana price prediction
Solana价格预测
Solana (SOL) bounced off the 20-day EMA ($201) on Sunday, indicating that the bulls continue to buy on dips.
Solana(Sol)在周日的20天EMA($ 201)中弹起,表明公牛继续以蘸酱购买。
The bulls are trying to drive the price above the $218 overhead resistance. If they manage to do that, the SOL/USDT pair will complete a bullish ascending triangle pattern. That clears the path for a rally to $240 and then to $260.
公牛队正试图将价格推向218美元的高架阻力。如果他们设法这样做,Sol/USDT对将完成单价上升的三角形模式。这清除了集会至240美元,然后降至260美元的道路。
Sellers will have to successfully defend the $218 level and quickly tug Solana’s price below the 50-day SMA ($189) to prevent the upside move. The pair may then sink to $175.
卖方将不得不成功地捍卫218美元的水平,并迅速将Solana的价格低于50天的SMA(189美元),以防止上涨。然后,两人可能会下沉至$ 175。
Related: Can XRP keep outperforming Bitcoin this bull cycle?
相关:XRP可以在这个公牛周期中保持优于比特币吗?
Dogecoin price prediction
Dogecoin价格预测
Dogecoin (DOGE) rose above the moving averages on Sunday, signaling that the price may remain inside the $0.21 to $0.26 range for a few more days.
Dogecoin(Doge)在周日的移动平均值上升,这表明价格可能会在几天内保持在0.21美元至0.26美元的范围内。
The 20-day EMA ($0.22) has started to turn up, and the RSI has risen into the positive territory, indicating a slight advantage to the bulls. Sellers will try to defend the $0.26 level, but the DOGE/USDT pair could reach $0.29 if the bulls prevail. A close above $0.29 suggests the start of a new up move toward $0.44.
20天的EMA($ 0.22)已经开始出现,RSI已经进入了积极的领域,这对公牛队有轻微的优势。卖家将试图为$ 0.26的水平辩护,但如果公牛队胜出,道门人/美元对却可能达到0.29美元。收盘价高于$ 0.29,这表明新的上升开始向0.44美元开始。
The $0.21 level is the critical support to watch out for on the downside. A break below it could sink the Dogecoin price to $0.19 and then to $0.16.
$ 0.21的水平是值得关注的关键支持。下面的休息可能会使Dogecoin价格下降到0.19美元,然后降至0.16美元。
Cardano price prediction
Cardano价格预测
Cardano (ADA) rose above the moving averages on Monday and is nearing the downtrend line of the descending channel pattern.
Cardano(ADA)周一上升到移动平均值上方,并接近下降频道模式的下降线。
Sellers will strive to defend the downtrend line, but if buyers pierce the resistance, the corrective phase may be over. The ADA/USDT pair could pick up momentum and rally to $0.96 and subsequently to $1.02.
卖方将努力捍卫下降趋势线,但是如果买家刺穿了阻力,则纠正阶段可能已经结束。 ADA/USDT对可以拿到势头,然后集会为0.96美元,随后达到1.02美元。
Instead, if Cardano’s price turns down from the downtrend line, it signals that the pair may remain inside the channel for some more time. The bears will gain the upper hand on a break below the channel’s support line.
取而代之的是,如果Cardano的价格从下降趋势线上降低,则表明这对夫妇可能会在频道内部持续一段时间。熊队将在频道的支撑线下方的突破中获得上风。
Hyperliquid price prediction
超流利价格预测
Hyperliquid (HYPE) continues to march higher, rising above the $49.88 to $51.19 overhead resistance zone on Monday.
高流动性(HYPE)继续越来越高,高于周一的49.88美元至51.19美元的间接阻力区。
A close above $51.19 signals the completion of a bullish ascending triangle pattern. The HYPE/USDT pair may then resume its uptrend toward the pattern target of $64.25.
超过51.19美元的收盘价表示看涨的三角形图案的完成。然后,Hype/USDT对可以将其上升趋势恢复到64.25美元的模式目标。
Contrary to this assumption, if the Hyperliquid price turns down sharply and re-enters the triangle, it suggests that the bears are active at higher levels. Sellers will have to sink the price below the uptrend line to negate the bullish setup. That could trap the aggressive bulls, pulling the pair to $40.
与此假设相反,如果超流利价格急剧下降并重新进入三角形,则表明熊在较高的水平上处于活动状态。卖方将不得不将价格下降到上升线以下,以否定看涨的设置。那可能会诱捕积极的公牛,将这对夫妇拉到40美元。
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
本文不包含投资建议或建议。每个投资和交易举动都涉及风险,读者在做出决定时应进行自己的研究。
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