выпускать: 2026/06/21 07:00 читать: 0
Оригинальный автор:加密播客
Первоисточник:https://www.youtube.com/embed/1bTyzXkmPRM
In June 2026, Robert Kiyosaki, the author of "Rich Dad Poor Dad," spoke out publicly, admitting that one of his biggest mistakes in the past was "letting price determine the reason for buying and selling." He also said that now more attention should be paid to the "environment" and macro background of the asset rather than short-term price fluctuations. He is paying close attention to the technical trends in gold, silver, Bitcoin and Ethereum, waiting for prices to end their downtrends before buying. Behind this statement, it reflects the profound changes that the encryption market is experiencing - from the era of recklessness to the era of macro. In October 2025, the total market value of the global encryption market reached a peak of approximately US$4.2 trillion, and then fell all the way to approximately US$2.16 trillion in mid-2026, a decrease of approximately 48%. Bitcoin has retraced about 50% from its all-time high, and Ethereum has also experienced a brutal correction. This decline is the resonance of triple pressures on macro, capital and sentiment: geopolitical conflicts pushed up oil prices in February 2026, and expectations of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve completely disappeared; Bitcoin ETFs experienced net outflows of more than US$4 billion for five consecutive weeks starting in mid-May; single-day liquidations on June 4 were as high as US$1.6 billion. On June 17, 2026, Kevin Warsh, the new chairman of the Federal Reserve, presided over the first FOMC meeting, keeping interest rates unchanged but releasing a more-than-expected hawkish signal. The dot plot showed that the median interest rate forecast for the end of 2026 was significantly increased from 3.4% to 3.8%, and all forward guidance was completely deleted. This means that the "anchor" of the interest rate path that the market relied on in the past was actively removed, and Bitcoin fell to $62,236 after the press conference. Ironically, this plunge just proves that the encryption market is entering the "macro era." Grayscale pointed out in its 2026 Outlook report that the traditional four-year cycle theory may have expired, and the popularity of spot ETFs and the improvement of compliance frameworks are changing the structure of market participants. Coinbase put forward a wonderful analogy: the current market environment is more like "1996" than "1999" - the early stage when Internet technology began to truly penetrate business. At the regulatory level, the US "GENIUS Act" has been signed into effect, and the "Digital Asset Market Transparency Act" continues to advance; the EU MiCA transition period has officially ended; the Hong Kong SFC issued a regulatory circular on stablecoins, and HSBC and Standard Chartered have obtained the first batch of licenses. Compliance is no longer optional, but the ticket into this market. From the shrinkage of market capitalization from US$4.2 trillion to US$2.16 trillion, the transformation of the participant structure from retail-led to institutional-led, from the regulatory gray area to the implementation of a global compliance framework - all changes point in the same direction: the era of recklessness is ending, and the macro era has arrived. As Kiyosaki said, what matters is not the price itself, but the "environment" in which the asset exists.
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