
The crypto market experienced significant volatility early this week. Bitcoin (BTC) underwent a dramatic price swing, plummeting and then recovering within hours, driven by rumors, macroeconomic factors, and the actions of large investors (whales).
Bitcoin's Price Rollercoaster: A False Alarm
Following rumors of a 90-day pause on tariffs by , Bitcoin briefly surged above $80,000. However, the White House quickly debunked this report, causing a market reversal. This short-lived "relief rally" also impacted altcoins like Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Dogecoin, which saw temporary gains before retracting most of them. Bitcoin's price currently hovers around $79,000, lacking consistent upward momentum.
Whale Accumulation Amidst Retail Selling
While smaller investors panicked and sold, large investors (whales) actively accumulated Bitcoin. Glassnode data indicates peak accumulation in recent days by wallets holding over 10,000 BTC. This suggests confidence among large players despite the market downturn. Bitcoin found support at $74,000, a level with significant previous trading volume, potentially acting as a springboard for further gains. Conversely, a break below this level could signal a deeper correction towards $70,000 or lower, according to analysts like OKX's Ted. The divergence between large and small holder behavior could indicate a substantial price movement in either direction.
Arthur Hayes' Bitcoin Bullish Outlook
Arthur Hayes, former BitMEX CEO and a prominent crypto bull, advocates for a Bitcoin-centric strategy, predicting BTC dominance could reach 70% as unstable monetary policies drive investors towards safer crypto assets. He recently reported buying Bitcoin during the dip, avoiding other cryptocurrencies ("shitcoins"), believing that continued money printing by central banks will strengthen Bitcoin's position as a hedge. This view aligns with current data showing rising Bitcoin dominance and lagging altcoin performance.
Significant Liquidations Exacerbate Volatility
Over $1.5 billion in crypto long positions were liquidated in the past 24 hours, the largest such event this year. This was largely due to traders betting on a Bitcoin rebound who were impacted by the price drop below key support levels. These liquidations highlight the market's leveraged and fragile nature, contributing to the observed volatility. Increased demand for downside protection in options markets, particularly around $70,000, further underscores this. Despite the turmoil, Bitcoin partially recovered, but overall market confidence remains low, with only whales demonstrating significant conviction.
Bitcoin's Correlation with Macroeconomic Uncertainty
The return of initially held bullish implications for crypto, but instead brought increased market volatility. Aggressive tariff policies have negatively impacted global markets, dragging crypto down with them, effectively crushing hopes for BTC decoupling from stock market performance. Despite previous political and financial support for within the crypto community, traders now feel caught off guard. The strong correlation between Bitcoin and tech stocks leaves it vulnerable to macroeconomic shocks. Until this correlation weakens, Bitcoin's price will likely remain susceptible to headline-driven volatility, currently dominated by concerns about tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and overall uncertainty.
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