
Dogecoin's historical price movements are once again capturing the attention of analysts, with patterns suggesting the potential for a significant rally. Based on past bull market performances, projections indicate a possible surge of over 800%, potentially reaching and surpassing $2.28, representing a possible 9x gain. At the time of writing, Dogecoin was trading at $0.2314.
Historical Cycles Indicate Strong Upside Potential
Analysis by Javon Marks suggests that Dogecoin's market history reveals three distinct cycles, starting in 2014. Each cycle typically begins with a phase of accumulation, transitions into a period of rapid growth, and then enters an extended consolidation phase. Cycle 1 saw a price increase from $0.00016 to $0.0016 before a breakout.
Cycle 2 ranged between $0.0016 and $0.0130, concluding near $0.111. Cycle 3 fluctuated from $0.056 to $0.164 before peaking at $0.200. Marks highlights that the current market structure bears resemblance to previous pre-breakout phases, which have historically preceded substantial upward movements.
The latest accumulation zone, observed between $0.18 and $0.23, has seen significant buying activity from large investors (whales). This accumulation has increased institutional holdings to almost half of Dogecoin's circulating supply. A break and sustained hold above $0.23 is considered a crucial step toward reaching the $0.25–$0.30 range in the near term.
Market Drivers and Technical Setup
According to Crypto Patel, continued accumulation within the $0.18–$0.23 zone supports the possibility of rallies toward $2. The analyst identifies $1.50 as a key support level in longer-term projections. On-chain data indicates that whales have recently added over 2 billion DOGE during price dips, with $12 million in new long positions being opened in the last 24 hours.
ETF optimism is also contributing to the positive market sentiment. Data suggests an increased probability of a spot Dogecoin ETF approval. Derivatives data reveals a surge in open interest and a positive long/short ratio among top traders.
Technical indicators show immediate resistance at $0.26, with potential upside targets at $0.268 and $0.285 if the bullish momentum persists. Support remains at $0.225, with $0.211 serving as a lower-range safeguard.
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