Is Dogecoin Ready to Surge or Set to Slide? Experts Share Conflicting Views

Analysts are divided on Dogecoin's future. Some predict a bullish breakout based on technical analysis, while others foresee further decline due to weakening support and diminishing investor interest. Despite a recent 3% price increase, on-chain metrics and decreasing trading volume indicate uncertain momentum.

As the broader cryptocurrency market shows signs of recovery, Dogecoin remains a focal point of debate, primarily concerning its near-term price trajectory. Analysts offer sharply contrasting viewpoints.

In early May, Dogecoin briefly surpassed $0.18 before reversing course. By May 3rd, it had fallen below the crucial $0.175 support level, reaching a low of $0.165 on May 6th. A subsequent 3% recovery to approximately $0.1734 has done little to resolve the mixed sentiment surrounding the coin.

Bearish Outlook: Weakness Below Key Support Levels

Farid Saremi, a TradingView analyst, presents a bearish perspective, citing macro-level resistance zones. His analysis of the 3-hour DOGE/USDT chart shows Dogecoin has broken below a key equilibrium zone between $0.18 and $0.21, indicating medium-term weakness. Saremi believes this breakdown signifies waning buyer control and suggests significant growth is unlikely in the near future.

He points to structural support levels at $0.10894 and $0.07478, based on past price consolidation and historical patterns. Saremi anticipates these levels could be tested if the bearish trend continues. He states, "We may be delayed in reaching the target, but the targets will be touched," expressing confidence in a downward trajectory.

Bullish Signs: Technical Patterns Suggest a Potential Breakout

Conversely, other analysts highlight bullish technical formations. Trader Tardigrade identifies a recurring "falling wedge" pattern on the DOGE/Total chart. A similar pattern last year preceded a 300% price surge from $0.10 to $0.46. He suggests the current wedge, formed between February and May 2025, mirrors the previous one and could lead to a breakout, potentially pushing DOGE as high as $0.6936.

Tardigrade also notes a possible "Diamond Bottom" reversal pattern, with a short-term target of $0.28. This is supported by analyst Ali Martinez, who identified $0.167 as critical support, predicting a move towards $0.183. Efloud, another crypto influencer, similarly suggests $0.169 could act as a reliable floor during price pullbacks.

On-Chain Metrics and Sentiment Remain Cautious

Despite the bullish technical analysis, on-chain data and overall sentiment suggest caution. Data from Arkham reveals that Dogecoin exchange inflows have recently exceeded outflows, potentially indicating increased sell pressure. Trading volume has also decreased significantly, and Google Trends data show reduced public interest compared to previous highs.

Furthermore, Dogecoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near 50, suggesting a neutral market stance and a lack of significant momentum in either direction. This indecisiveness, coupled with waning retail investor enthusiasm, could hinder bullish predictions unless renewed market demand emerges.

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