Dogecoin at Risk of 30% Crash If Key Level Fails, Warns Analyst

As Dogecoin navigates a period of uncertainty, a prominent crypto analyst is raising concerns. Ali Martinez, a well-regarded voice within the trading community, cautions that Dogecoin (DOGE) risks a potential 30% price correction if it fails to maintain its position above the crucial $0.168 support level.

In a recent technical analysis shared on X (formerly Twitter), Martinez points to a Symmetrical Triangle pattern developing on DOGE’s daily chart—a recognized formation that frequently precedes significant price movements.

“Dogecoin $DOGE must hold above $0.168 to avoid a 30% price drop!” he stated.

Dogecoin Approaches Apex of Symmetrical Triangle

A Symmetrical Triangle emerges when an asset's price action consolidates between two converging trendlines: one depicting lower highs and the other establishing higher lows. As the price compresses within this narrowing channel, the trading range contracts, increasing the potential for a sharp breakout.

Dogecoin has been contained within this formation for several months. According to Martinez’s analysis, the memecoin is approaching the triangle's apex, a point that usually precedes a decisive move in either direction.

Unlike ascending or descending triangles, which exhibit a bias toward upward or downward breakouts, symmetrical triangles are directionally neutral. This means DOGE could experience either a substantial rally or a significant decline, depending on the direction of the breakout.

$0.168: A Critical Threshold

Dogecoin is currently testing the lower boundary of the triangle pattern. Should this level fail to hold, the breakdown could be amplified by the proximity of a key Fibonacci retracement level, specifically the 0.786 level near $0.168.

Fibonacci levels are commonly employed in technical analysis to identify potential areas of support and resistance. The 0.786 level often serves as a robust psychological and technical barrier. A definitive break below $0.168 would negate the triangle pattern and potentially pave the way for a 30% decrease, according to Martinez.

Current DOGE Price Action

At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading around $0.177, reflecting a decrease of over 4% in the past week. Market sentiment remains cautious, and traders are closely monitoring whether DOGE can rebound from support or succumb to bearish pressure.

If Dogecoin regains upward momentum and breaches the triangle’s upper boundary, a bullish continuation remains a possibility. However, the $0.168 level remains the focal point in the short term.

What Comes Next for DOGE?

DOGE holders should anticipate heightened volatility in the near future. As the Symmetrical Triangle pattern nears its conclusion, a breakout in either direction appears imminent. Whether the memecoin rallies or declines may largely depend on overall market sentiment and the price trajectory of Bitcoin.

With no clear directional bias established, the upcoming trading days will be crucial for Dogecoin’s immediate outlook. Martinez's warning serves as an important reminder that technical patterns—particularly symmetrical triangles—often precede significant price swings, and traders should be prepared to respond accordingly.

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