Dogecoin price is slipping to $0.2168 amid a 6.74% pullback, testing the 200-day EMA. With futures liquidations up 12.53% and open interest falling, the bullish pattern is at risk of breaking down.

As the crypto market pulls back, meme coins are struggling to hold above key support levels. Dogecoin is down 6.74%, testing its 200-day EMA at $0.2168. Will the increasing supply pressure undermine Dogecoin's short-term bullish pattern?

On the daily chart, Dogecoin's price action remains in a broader downtrend, with a strong descending resistance trendline in place. This trendline reflects the lower-high formation that has persisted since December 2024.

However, short-term consolidation below the 50% Fibonacci level at $0.2566 has formed an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern. The neckline of this bullish pattern coincides with the 50% Fibonacci level, the $0.25 supply zone, and the descending trendline.

Currently, Dogecoin is testing the 200-day EMA at $0.2168, falling below the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.2227. Despite the intraday decline, the price remains within the potential right-shoulder phase of the bullish pattern.

A breakdown below the 100-day EMA at $0.2060 would invalidate the bullish setup and increase the downside risk toward $0.1869, which is aligned with the 23.60% Fibonacci level.

On the bullish side, a breakout above the neckline could lead to a 95% rally in Dogecoin, targeting the $0.50 mark.

Dogecoin Futures Long Liquidations Exceed $12 Million

Amid the drop in spot prices, Dogecoin futures have taken a significant hit. Over the past 24 hours, open interest has declined by 1.55%, falling to $2.64 billion. Additionally, long liquidations hit $12.53 million in the same period.

The drop in open interest alongside rising long liquidations signals growing bearish dominance in Dogecoin futures.

Currently, the long-to-short ratio stands at 0.9612 over the past 24 hours, reflecting slight bearish sentiment. Moreover, the open interest-weighted funding rate has dropped to 0.0014% from a recent peak of 0.0097%, highlighting a sharp decline in bullish intent to hold long positions.

Altogether, derivatives data indicate the potential for a steeper correction in Dogecoin if market volatility persists.