Dogecoin price is showing signs of strength despite recent volatility. According to a recent X post by analyst Polaris.xbt on X, it seems that Dogecoin had closed a monthly FVG gap, and it was now trading within a stable consolidation range that could spark an upward breakout.

In his analysis, he stated that the Dogecoin price forecast is positive, and if it can defend support at the bottom range of this consolidation zone, it faces the next major hurdle at $0.22. If it breaks out from this resistance level, it may enter a sustained uptrend past $0.40, which will mimic the DOGE ETF approval rally.

Conversely, if DOGE fails to make a clean breakout from the current consolidation zone and slips, it faces critical support at $0.10, at which point it will have wiped out the entire Q4 rally triggered by President Trump’s election.

On the other hand, data from Santiment reveals that the price of Dogecoin may have hit a local bottom as the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has hit a lower bound. At press time, the 365-day MVRV had plunged to -37%, indicating that most holders are underwater, which suggests that the top meme coin is undervalued and may make a strong upward trend. Doing so will mirror past patterns, like in the second half of 2024, whereby DOGE went on a parabolic rally after the MVRV signalled a bottom.

Moreover, the high approval odds for a spot Dogecoin ETF might also catalyze the next bullish break for price, as Polymarket reveals that the approval odds now stand at 64%. Meanwhile, Bloomberg analysts stated that there is an 80% chance of a DOGE ETF approval for the three issuers that have filed for the product.

As optimism towards the approval of this product increases, Dogecoin is likely to make an upward breakout in May 2025. Moreover, as Coingape recently reported, DOGE will rally significantly if it captures 30% to 50% of spot Bitcoin ETF inflows.