Crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade has spotted a concerning development for fans of Dogecoin.

The analyst, who is known for his offbeat analysis style, pointed out that Dogecoin has broken out of a mid-term resistance trendline.

The crypto analyst highlighted a striking similarity between Dogecoin’s price action and the same pattern unfolding in the first half of 2024, which saw the cryptocurrency surge by 75%.

In the present 2025 scenario, DOGE descended from $0.15 in January to reach a low of nearly $0.12 in April. However, around mid-April, a turning point emerged as the price began to rebound.

The breakout above a falling trendline was also accompanied by a tangible buildup in momentum and a spike in volumes, all of which attest to a changing market attitude. According to Tardigrade, there “are no signs of a false break,” which supports the possibility of such a bullish indication.

This breakout occurred at the $0.18–$0.20 level, which is usually taken by analysts as a classic indication of a sustained rally to come—a strong base formation followed by a clean breakout and a rise in volume.

Dogecoin’s April 2025 move looks like its 2024 rally

To put all of this into perspective, Tardigrade likened the April 2025 price action to Dogecoin’s February 2024 breakout. Back then, the token ascended from a consolidation at $0.08 to a high of $0.14, a nearly 75% increase over a few days.

The breakout in 2024 also followed the development of momentum and was propelled by a rise in volume, similar to what’s currently in the process of transpiring.

Both the 2024 and the 2025 charts have downward-sloping resistance lines that were cleanly broken, indicating renewed bull interest. For each, significant market participation at the time of the breakout hinted at more widespread investor confidence.

While the price context has changed—$0.18 having become the breakout level in place of $0.08—the behavior pattern holds steady. Tardigrade takes advantage of this mirrored configuration to predict the same aggressive breakout in May 2025.

Long-Term forecast shows potential for dogecoin to Hit $1

Tardigrade’s analysis suggests that Dogecoin may rise to $0.31-$0.35 in the near term if history repeats in terms of percentages. For the long term, he boldly estimates the possibility of reaching above $1, a 400% leap from the breakout level.

Even so, volatility remains a possibility for the cryptocurrency. If the price falls again below the newly found support at about $0.18, the bullish formation could be broken. Broader market sentiment, changing sentiment, or taking profits could also dampen momentum.