The real daily-level buying point of the S&P Index is as early as August and as late as November, and the worst time is one year (202605231501) [Finance·Investment·Stocks]

Original author：一切都是刚刚开始

Original source：https://www.youtube.com/embed/WCD2MytePWs

Don't be fooled by the S&P's strong run this year. The key now is not "whether the index has reached a new high", but whether the daily downward trend starting from 7002 has been truly destroyed. This video mainly makes one thing clear: the real daily-level buying point of the S&P is not right in front of you. If you are optimistic, you will have to wait until August at the earliest; if you are neutral, you may have to wait until November; if the structure continues to deteriorate, you may even have to look at the bear market rhythm of about a year. There are three main scenarios behind this: The first one is to continue to hit new highs in June and July. If S&P can complete the upward monthly structure of 6316, that is, out of 5 rising monthly K lines, then the daily downward trend starting from 7002 will be destroyed. At that time, as long as there is another weekly level retracement in August, the lowest point will have the opportunity to be confirmed as the second buying point at the daily level. The second type can still maintain strength in the future, but the strength is not enough. If the monthly line cannot complete the upward trend of 6316, then the daily downward trend starting from 7002 has not ended yet. The next greater probability is to continue to make a weekly center around 7002, and then make the last three moves downward after the center is over. The real daily low level opportunity will not be until November at the earliest. Third, the structure continues to weaken. If 7517 makes a downward move from the monthly level, and at the same time the daily chart evolves a weak structure such as center expansion, center expansion, or downward trend divergence, then it will not be a matter of "waiting for the second buy after the shock". In this case, the market is more likely to enter a medium- to long-term bear market. The real buying point often has to wait until the monthly line has fallen for at least five consecutive months, and the overall adjustment time may be delayed to one to one and a half years. Timestamp: 00:00 Opening conclusion: New high does not mean the end of the daily downtrend structure 00:54 How to understand the big structure after 700201:59 What should we focus on next02:26 The first script: Continue to hit new highs, wait until August to buy 03:42 The second script: The monthly line is not strong enough, the real buying point is as soon as November 05:26 The third script: The structure weakens, entering the medium and long-term bear market 07:00 Three major routes are sorted out again 07:43 What are the most common misjudgments currently made 08:09 The next most reliable observation points Disclaimer: The content of this video is only for personal review and technical analysis ideas, and does not constitute any investment advice. The market is risky and investment needs to be cautious. #standard&pu500 #US stock #spx #technical analysis #黄论 # stock review # US stock trend