Asset manager 21Shares has filed an amendment for its application to offer a Dogecoin ETF, which it filed last month. This development comes just weeks after the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) acknowledged the filing, kicking off the review process.

Asset Manager 21Shares已提交了一項修正案，以提出上個月提交的Dogecoin ETF的申請。在美國證券交易委員會（SEC）承認該文件並開始審核過程後，這一發展就在幾週後。

21Shares Is Amending Its S-1 Form

21shares正在修改其S-1表格

According to a recent SEC filing, 21Shares has amended its application to offer a Dogecoin ETF. The asset manager had initially filed the S-1 form for this fund on April 9, showing its intention to offer institutional investors direct exposure to the top meme coin. Meanwhile, Nasdaq had filed the 19b-4 form to list and trade shares of this ETF, which officially began the approval process.

根據最近的SEC文件，21shares修改了其提供Dogecoin ETF的申請。資產經理最初於4月9日為該基金提交了S-1表格，表明其打算向機構投資者直接接觸頂級模因硬幣。同時，納斯達克已提交了19b-4表格，列出了該ETF的股票，並正式開始了批准過程。

This amended filing makes things more interesting. Typically, the SEC comments on an application before making a decision. However, these amendments follow comments made by the SEC. As such, this filing suggests that the Commission is in communication with the asset manager, which provides optimism about an approval at some point.

修訂的歸檔使事情變得更加有趣。通常，在做出決定之前，SEC對申請發表了評論。但是，這些修正案遵循SEC的評論。因此，該文件表明，委員會正在與資產經理進行溝通，該資產經理在某個時候就對批准提供了樂觀。

The SEC recently delayed its decision on Grayscale’s Dogecoin ETF application while seeking more comments and rebuttals on the filing. The next deadline for the Commission to decide on this application is August 19. The fourth and final deadline is on October 18.

SEC最近推遲了對Grayscale的Dogecoin ETF應用的決定，同時尋求有關文件的更多評論和反駁。委員會決定此申請的下一個截止日期是8月19日。第四和最後一個截止日期是10月18日。

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Earlier this month, the SEC also delayed its decision on Bitwise’s first attempt to launch a Dogecoin ETF in the US. The Commission had set an April 1 deadline for the Commission to decide on this application. However, the SEC is yet to approve any applications to offer institutional investors direct exposure to the meme coin.

本月初，SEC還推遲了對Bitwise首次嘗試在美國推出Dogecoin ETF的決定。該委員會已為委員會設定了4月1日的截止日期，以決定此申請。但是，SEC尚未批准任何申請，以向機構投資者直接接觸Meme Coin。

The next deadline for this filing is June 15, when the Commission is also likely to delay the application. The third and fourth deadlines are on September 13 and November 12, respectively. According to Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart, approval is likely to come in the early part of the fourth quarter.

該文件的下一個截止日期是6月15日，當時委員會也可能會延遲申請。第三和第四截止日期分別是9月13日和11月12日。據彭博分析師詹姆斯·塞法特（James Seyffart）稱，批准可能會在第四季度初。

Odds Of An Approval This Year

今年獲得批准的機率

Polymarket data shows that there is a 69% chance of the SEC approving a Dogecoin ETF by December 31. Meanwhile, there is only a 15% chance that an approval will come by July 31.

Polymarket數據表明，到12月31日，SEC批准Dogecoin ETF的機會有69％。與此同時，在7月31日之前，批准只有15％的機會。

Bloomberg analysts Seyffart and Balchunas have also shared their thoughts on the odds of an approval for a DOGE ETF this year.

彭博分析師Seyffart和Balchunas還分享了他們對今年Doge ETF認可的機率的看法。

Balchunas reached these odds based on the assumption that the SEC views DOGE as a commodity, as well as the fact that there is a regulated futures market for the meme coin. A futures market increases the chances of an approval since the court ruled in the Grayscale case that the spot and futures markets are similar.

Balchunas基於以下假設，即SEC認為Doge是商品，以及Meme Coin有監管的期貨市場。自從法院在灰度案件中裁定現場和期貨市場相似以來，期貨市場增加了批准的機會。

At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.20, down over 9% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

根據CoinMarketCap的數據，在撰寫本文時，Dogecoin價格的交易價格約為0.20美元，在過去24小時內下降了9％以上。