
Once dismissed as a meme with no future, Dogecoin is being re-evaluated by serious players in the investment world. As such, asset management firm 21Shares has not only filed for a Dogecoin ETF in the U.S., but is also cutting through the noise to release an in-depth report examining the case for DOGE as a viable addition to diversified portfolios.
曾經被視為沒有未來的模因,Dogecoin被投資界的認真參與者重新評估。因此,資產管理公司21shares不僅為美國的Dogecoin ETF申請,而且還削減了噪音,以釋放一份深入的報告,該報告審查了Doge的案例,作為多元化投資組合的可行補充。
According to their analysis, even a small allocation—just 1%—to Dogecoin within a traditional 60/40 stock-bond portfolio, already adjusted to include a bit of Bitcoin, could noticeably impact returns. In the case of this specific portfolio, the analysis shows that a 1% allocation to Dogecoin could have boosted returns by 0.5% annually over the past 10 years.
根據他們的分析,即使是在傳統的60/40股票債券投資組合中,已經調整了一些比特幣的少量分配(只有1%),也可能會產生明顯的影響回報。在這種特定投資組合的情況下,分析表明,在過去的10年中,向Dogecoin分配了1%的分配可能每年增加0.5%。
The report, titled “Dogecoin: A Persistent Meme in a World of FOMO,” explores three potential future price outlooks for Dogecoin by 2025.
該報告的標題為“ Dogecoin:Fomo世界中的持續模因”,探討了2025年Dogecoin的三種潛在的未來價格前景。
The most optimistic scenario, dubbed "The Dogefather's Vision," envisions a price of $1.42. This target is reached if the coin continues its past explosive growth, with an assumed 189% annual growth rate over the next two years. This rate is based on the pattern of Dogecoin’s past price surges, most notably before its 2021 bull run.
最樂觀的場景被稱為“ Dogefather的願景”,其價格為1.42美元。如果硬幣繼續其過去的爆炸性增長,則達到該目標,未來兩年中假定年增長率為189%。該速度基於Dogecoin過去價格飆升的模式,最著名的是在其2021年公牛運行之前。
This bullish outlook hinges on a combination of sustained retail investor interest, increased institutional participation thanks to clearer regulations, and significant progress in Dogecoin's real-world adoption. A key factor will be Elon Musk's plans for integrating Dogecoin payments on X, formerly known as Twitter. Should these factors align, the report suggests that DOGE could not only reach but surpass its former all-time high.
這種看漲的前景取決於持續的散戶投資者權益的結合,由於法規的清晰,機構的參與增加以及Dogecoin的真實世界採用的重大進展。一個關鍵因素將是埃隆·馬斯克(Elon Musk)在X上集成Dogecoin付款的計劃,以前稱為Twitter。該報告表明,如果這些因素保持一致,Doge不僅可以達到其以前的歷史最高水平。
However, 21Shares also presents more conservative estimates. In a "Hope for the Best" scenario, which assumes a more modest 10% CAGR in DOGE's price recovery from its previous peak, the report forecasts a price of $0.38 by 2025. This estimate factors in a gradual increase in DOGE's value from its peak in 2021, presenting a more pessimistic yet still positive outlook compared to the current price.
但是,21shares還提出了更保守的估計。在“最佳希望”情況下,該報告的價格從其上一個山峰開始得出10%的複合年增長率,該報告預測到2025年的價格為0.38美元。與目前的價格相比,該報告估計了Doge在2021年的峰值逐漸增加的峰值價值。
Finally, a neutral scenario anticipates the coin to be trading at approximately $1 by 2025, capturing roughly 3% of a projected $5 trillion crypto market. This scenario assumes a slightly smaller market share for Dogecoin than it previously held.
最後,中立的情況預計到2025年,硬幣將以約1美元的價格交易,佔預計5萬億美元加密市場的大約3%。這種情況假設Dogecoin的市場份額比以前持有的份額要小。
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