TradingView analyst Farid Saremi is spotting weakness for Dogecoin in the mid-term and isn’t expecting to see any major gains anytime soon.

TradingView分析師Farid Saremi在中期發現Dogecoin的弱點，並且不希望很快看到任何重大收益。

Dogecoin’s recent price action has seen a shift in sentiment as the asset pulls back from early May highs. After briefly touching levels above $0.18 at the start of the month, the coin reversed course, dipping below the $0.175 support line by May 3.

Dogecoin最近的價格行動發生了變化，因為資產從5月初的高點撤回。在本月初的短暫接觸水平超過$ 0.18之後，硬幣逆轉課程，到5月3日之前下降到$ 0.175的支持線以下。

This decline continued into May 6, with the price reaching a local low just above $0.165. As of press time, Dogecoin is trading near $0.1734, showing a minor 3% recovery over the past 24 hours.

這種下降一直持續到5月6日，其價格達到了當地低於$ 0.165的當地低價。截至發稿時，Dogecoin的交易價格接近$ 0.1734，在過去24小時內恢復了3％。

However, this rebound has done little to resolve the growing uncertainty around its broader trend. As analysts assess the coin’s macro positioning, conflicting interpretations have emerged.

但是，這種反彈並沒有解決圍繞其更廣泛趨勢的不確定性的越來越多。隨著分析師評估硬幣的宏觀定位，出現了衝突的解釋。

Macro Resistance Zones

宏阻力區

Farid Saremi, a TradingView analyst, has been examining a 3-hour chart of DOGE/USDT to identify broader-level patterns. His analysis is pivoting on key equilibrium zones that are being defined by two main resistance points—December 2024 and January 2025.

TradingView分析師Farid Saremi一直在研究Doge/USDT的3小時圖表，以識別更廣泛的模式。他的分析是對由兩個主要阻力點（2024年12月和2025年1月）定義的關鍵平衡區域的樞紐。

In December, Dogecoin reached just under $0.50, while in January it peaked lower, at around $0.43. After these highs, the price declined to be contained within a consolidation band between $0.18 and $0.21. This range now forms the main equilibrium zone.

去年12月，Dogecoin到達不到0.50美元，而在1月，它的峰值降低了，約為0.43美元。在這些高點之後，價格降低在合併頻段內的0.18美元至0.21美元之間。該範圍現在構成主要平衡區。

Crucially, the price has slipped below this area, signaling a breakdown in buyers’ strength. According to Saremi, Dogecoin is not yet ready for major growth in the mid-term, and price action is expected to gravitate toward the middle zone.

至關重要的是，價格已經低於該區域，標誌著買家的實力發生了故障。根據Saremi的說法，Dogecoin尚未為中期的重大增長做好準備，預計價格行動將傾向於中間區域。

Lower Structural Supports

較低的結構支持

Following the loss of the main equilibrium zone, Saremi identifies two additional levels to watch. The first is located at $0.10894, which corresponds to price consolidation from January 2025. This area will act as intermediate support and may become the new balance zone if the price continues downward.

在主要平衡區域喪失之後，薩雷米（Saremi）確定了另外兩個要注意的級別。第一個定價為0.10894美元，與2025年1月起的價格合併相對應。該區域將作為中間支持，如果價格持續下降，可能會成為New Balance區。

Spanning a broader structure, a deeper level near $0.07478 is identified as the final downside target. This level is based on historical price clustering from the October–November 2024 period, forming a lower structure.

跨越更廣泛的結構，更深的水平接近$ 0.07478被確定為最終的下行目標。該級別基於2024年10月至1024年10月的歷史價格集群，形成了較低的結構。

Saremi adds that external factors, such as actions by large holders or market news, may affect the timing of these moves, but they will not invalidate the projected levels.

Saremi補充說，外部因素，例如大型持有人或市場新聞的行動，可能會影響這些舉動的時機，但它們不會使預計水平無效。

“We may be delayed in reaching the target, but the targets will be touched,” explains the analyst.

分析師解釋說：“我們可能會推遲到達目標，但目標將被觸及。”

Another View: Falling Wedge

另一種觀點：掉落的楔子

In a contrasting analysis, Trader Tardigrade is examining Dogecoin’s performance against the total crypto market with a 3-day chart of DOGE/Total.

與對比分析相比，Trader Tardigrade正在研究Dogecoin對總的加密貨幣市場的績效，其中3天的總督/總計圖表。

#Dogecoin/#Total signals an identical Falling Wedge 🔥

＃dogecoin/＃總信號相同的下降楔形🔥

It seems ready to break out.A previous surge in $Doge/ $Total resulted in a 300% gain for $Doge. pic.twitter.com/9nEgq2wOGz— Trader Tardigrade (@TATrader_Alan) May 7, 2025

似乎已經準備好爆發了。先前的$ DOGE/ $總數的激增導致$ DOGE的300％收益。 pic.twitter.com/9negq2wogz-交易者tardigrade（@tatrader_alan）5月7日，2025年5月7日

His analysis highlights a recurring pattern of falling wedges. The first wedge, which formed during mid-2024, is shown to have fully played out in a sharp breakout, propelling Dogecoin from around $0.10 to $0.46—a 300% rally.

他的分析突出了掉落楔的反復出現模式。在2024年中期成立的第一個楔形物已顯示出急劇突破，從大約0.10美元降至0.46美元，這是300％的拉力賽。

After the rally, the asset underwent a correction phase, forming another wedge from February to May 2025. This second wedge exhibits a similar structure with narrowing price ranges and compressing volume.

集會結束後，資產經歷了校正階段，從2月至2025年5月形成了另一個楔形階段。第二個楔形物展示了類似的結構，價格較窄，而且壓縮體積。

The analyst points out this tightening pattern, which signals accumulation and the potential for an upcoming breakout. He notes the technical similarity between the two wedges, implying that the current structure may precede another major move.

分析師指出了這種緊縮模式，該模式標誌著積累和即將發生的突破的潛力。他指出了兩個楔形之間的技術相似性，這意味著當前的結構可能是另一個主要舉動。

If the 300% rise were to repeat, then Dogecoin could reach $0.6936 from its current price.

如果要重複300％的上升，那麼Dogecoin的目前價格可能會達到0.6936美元。