Dogecoin [DOGE] has been surprisingly resilient, holding crucial support even as the broader market continues to shed risk.

Dogecoin [Doge]令人惊讶地有弹性，即使更广泛的市场继续降低风险，但仍保持着重要的支持。

This resilience could be a sign that buyers are stepping in strong, potentially setting up a solid floor for the memecoin.

这种韧性可能表明买家正在强大，有可能为Memecoin建立坚实的地板。

With risk-on sentiment likely to return, could DOGE be setting itself up for a potential retest of $0.30 resistance?

有可能返回风险的情绪，Doge是否可以以0.30美元的抵抗力进行重新设置吗？

Why $0.20 is a make-or-break level for Dogecoin

为什么$ 0.20是Dogecoin的成败水平

Taking a look at the daily chart, we can see some classic setups at play.

看看每日图表，我们可以看到一些经典的设置。

Whenever Dogecoin consolidates in a tight two-week range, it usually tends to be setting up for a big move. Before the breakout on the 8th of May, DOGE was calmly hanging between $0.15 and $0.17.

每当Dogecoin在两个星期的范围内巩固时，通常往往会为大动作设置。在5月8日的突破之前，Doge平静地挂在0.15美元至0.17美元之间。

Then, as Bitcoin [BTC] hit new all-time highs, capital quickly flowed back in, sending DOGE on a nearly 50% sprint to $0.25 in just three days. In fact, the RSI reached a major peak here – the first time since November. As such, some profit-taking was to be expected.

然后，随着比特币[BTC]达到了新的历史最高高点，资本很快就流回了，在短短三天内将近50％的冲刺送到了0.25美元。实际上，自11月以来，RSI在这里达到了一个重大峰值。因此，可以预期一些盈利。

[Chart: TradingView (DOGE/USDT)]

[图表：TradingView（Doge/USDT）]

However, Dogecoin has shown impressive resilience, trading in a tight $0.20 to $0.25 range despite the ongoing market liquidation.

但是，Dogecoin表现出令人印象深刻的韧性，尽管市场持续进行了清算，但仍以0.20美元至0.25美元的价格交易。

For a memecoin to hold this kind of price floor is unusual, especially during a bear cycle. Usually, memecoins get battered and their prices collapse rapidly. But Dogecoin has shown surprising strength, which could be a sign that smart money is accumulating in the background.

对于纪念性而言，将这种价格付出的价格是不寻常的，尤其是在熊周期中。通常，Memecoin被殴打，其价格迅速崩溃。但是Dogecoin表现出令人惊讶的力量，这可能表明聪明的钱在后台积累。

If we look at the last time Dogecoin broke out, we can see that it quickly recovered after the March crash and began a measured move. After reaching the $0.15 to $0.17 range, it consolidated for two weeks before breaking out in May.

如果我们看上一次狗狗币爆发，我们可以看到它在3月坠毁后很快就恢复了，并开始了一项测量的举动。在达到0.15美元至0.17美元的范围之后，它巩固了两周，然后在5月爆发。

If history repeats itself, it seems like traders are setting up for another rally like this.

如果历史重演，似乎交易者正在为另一个这样的集会设置。

Once the macro FUD subsides and Bitcoin clears its overhead resistance, Dogecoin could be in a good position to break above $0.25, with $0.30 likely to be the next resistance level.

一旦宏FUD消退并清除了其高架阻力，Dogecoin可能会处于良好的位置，可赚到高于$ 0.25的位置，$ 0.30可能是下一个阻力水平。

FOMO alert: Why traders can’t ignore DOGE now

FOMO警报：为什么交易者现在不能忽略Doge

To add to AMBCrypto’s previous analysis, the largest Dogecoin whale is known to hold between 100 million and 1 billion coins.

为了加上Ambcrypto先前的分析，众所周知，最大的Dogecoin鲸鱼持有1亿至10亿硬币。

As highlighted by Santiment, the whale’s balance just hit a one-month high of 26.44 billion DOGE. In less than a week, they added 640 million more coins to their holdings.

正如santiment所强调的那样，鲸鱼的平衡刚刚达到了一个月的264.4亿托马。在不到一周的时间里，他们增加了6.4亿枚硬币。

[Chart: Santiment]

[图表：santiment]

This move wasn’t exactly subtle. It coincided perfectly with the $0.21 dip and also flipped the Short-Term Holder (STH) NUPL into ‘hope’ territory. In fact, it was the first time in almost four months that we saw this kind of positive trend.

这一举动并不是完全微妙的。它与$ 0.21的浸入完美吻合，还将短期持有人（STH）NUPL翻转成“希望”领土。实际上，这是我们将近四个月来第一次看到这种积极的趋势。

For those unfamiliar, the STH NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit Loss) is an indicator that tracks the average price at which short-term holders acquired their Dogecoin holdings. When the STH NUPL is above zero, it indicates that, on average, STHs – those holding for less than 155 days – are in profit. Conversely, when it falls below zero, it signifies that, on average, STHs are in the red.

对于那些不熟悉的人，STH NUPL（未实现的盈利损失）是一个指标，该指标跟踪了短期持有人获得其Dogecoin Holdings的平均价格。当STH NUPL高于零时，它表明，平均而言，STH（持有少于155天的人）是有利可图的。相反，当它低于零时，它平均表示STH处于红色中。

This shift in STH NUPL could be crucial as it indicates a change in the market mood. It seems that STHs are finally seeing green, which might spark more FOMO-driven buying.

STH NUPL的这种转变可能至关重要，因为它表明市场情绪发生了变化。 STH似乎终于看到了Green，这可能会引发FOMO驱动的购买。

Combine this new capital injection with the impressive resilience of Dogecoin holders throughout the recent market downturn, and the setup for a potential breakout begins to emerge.

将这种新的资本注入与在最近的市场低迷中的令人印象深刻的狗狗持有者的韧性相结合，潜在突破的设置开始出现。

For a memecoin to hold its ground despite market-wide liquidation? That’s no small feat. If the macro pressure lessens and Bitcoin manages to clear its overhead resistance, we could be setting up for Dogecoin to breakout, with $0.30 being a possibility.

尽管市场范围清算，但要使Memecoin占据地面？那不是小壮举。如果宏压力降低，比特币设法清除了其高架阻力，我们可能会为Dogecoin进行突破，而0.30美元是可能的。