Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) price has shown signs of a potential breakout after nearly three years of consolidating following its 2021 peak. Technical analysis and recent market developments suggest that DOGE could be setting up for a significant price move.
What Happened: The DOGE/USDT pair on Binance recently printed a weekly candle at $0.1828, reflecting a 7.2% gain for the week. The price is currently trading between two key moving averages - the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA-50) at $0.203 and the 200-week EMA at $0.138.
While DOGE dipped below the EMA-50 earlier this year, it has managed to maintain support above the 200-week EMA, which crypto analyst Maelius highlighted as crucial. This EMA falls within a broader demand zone extending from around $0.11 to $0.20.
"Respecting major demand area, EMA200 as well as diagonal support and it seems like 1,2,1,2 is completed and now we head for 3rd EW (within larger 3rd)."
According to Elliott Wave theory, this double 1-2 structure is usually followed by a powerful third wave. Maelius predicts that DOGE could reach around $1 during this third wave, followed by a fourth wave corrective move below $0.70 and a final fifth wave potentially peaking between $1.30 and $1.70.
"Hopefully, we get 3rd wave in 1,2,3,4,5 structure (not a 1,2,1,2 as I initially expected) and then we'll see a 4th wave towards 0.70 (any lower and it'll likely become a 3rd wave). 5th wave (usually the largest) could reach 1.3 - 1.7 (if we're lucky)."
The WaveTrend Oscillator (WTO), a momentum indicator, has just crossed bullishly on the weekly timeframe for the first time since August 2024. The histogram has also shifted from deep red to neutral gray, mirroring transitions that came before previous major DOGE price increases.
From a technical perspective, the market is holding a multi-year demand zone, trading above its 20
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