Reason to trust

Crypto traders are used to seeing an abundance of copypasta circulate online, but rarely does it come in the form of a densely packed chart analysis post. Yet, that was the sight that greeted many on X this week, as crypto pundit ÐOGECAPITAL—known on the platform as @DimaPotts36—circulated a sweeping ten-year weekly chart that projects a late-cycle peak for the meme coin near double-digit territory.

“DOGE $10+ DOGECOIN?!” he teased in the accompanying post, setting an audacious tone for what is otherwise a rigorously constructed piece of cycle analysis.

Dogecoin Targets $10 Cycle Peak

Potts’ chart is anchored by a rising, two-point regression channel whose lower rail began at Dogecoin’s 2015–2016 base near $0.0001 and now sits just under $0.12. The upper rail, which has acted as resistance in every prior mania phase, currently extrapolates to roughly $69.42 by late 2025—the level highlighted in red where Potts places the next speculative blow-off.

Inside that corridor, price action forms three successive rounded bottoms, each capped by a descending yellow resistance line and undergirded by a red biding arc. The geometry alone implies mounting compression: the present triangle apex, lying at $0.17, is almost exactly where DOGE has been coiling for months.

The engine driving the forecast is a proprietary dual-wave oscillator rendered as a thicker turquoise wave and a swifter yellow counterpart. Potts explains that “cycle tops have historically printed in two ways: an early top when the yellow wave dips below the green, and a late top when the yellow wave plunges under the horizontal red line at –0.00013.”

Vertical purple bars mark every such event on the price chart. According to his archival reconstruction, the oscillator flashed a late top in February 2014, painted twin peaks in the 2017–2018 run, and signalled only an early top in May 2021 when DOGE notched its record $0.739 high.

The early-cycle signal appeared on March 6 this year—leaving an expected late-cycle breach still on the table. “If this pattern holds,” Potts writes, “a cycle top is likely around the week of October 27th,” a moment the chart underscores with a final purple bar and a white arrow labelled “LATE TOP.”

That date dovetails with the oscillator’s predicted descent below the red threshold (–0.00013) and with the upper channel, which will then hover in the $60–70 range. However, Potts grounds expectations by also noting that $10 represents a psychologically resonant milestone—the first round number one logarithmic order higher than the 2021 summit.

Historical symmetry strengthens the call. In both earlier cycles, Dogecoin’s decisive break of the yellow down-sloping lid unleashed vertical rallies that did not culminate until the upper white boundary was tagged. The geometry implies a similar stair-step may be unfolding: a weekly close above the current yellow resistance, now parked just below $0.20, would enable a decisive push towards the upper rail.

“Each cycle has touched the upper white curved trendline,” adds Potts, highlighting the channel’s remarkable predictive persistence. Whether the meme coin can repeat its parabolic history will depend on extrinsic factors—Bitcoin’s own halving cadence, global liquidity, and social-media-driven hype—but the oscillator’s track record is unblemished. As Potts puts it, “this indicator has accurately identified all cycle tops for DOGECOIN,” and until it proves otherwise traders will be watching the –0.00013 trigger and the lower channel closely for confirmation of the next explosive rally for Dogecoin price.

At press time, DOGE traded at $0.18.