Market watcher has argued that Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) could drop another 40% to reach a strong support level before a potential 400% surge.

市場觀察者認為，在潛在的400％激增之前，Dogecoin（Crypto：Doge）可能會再下降40％以達到強大的支持水平。

What Happened: Dogecoin has been struggling at key resistance levels this week. The meme coin is currently trading at $0.1552, showing a 0.37% decrease over the last 24 hours and 2.06% in seven days.

發生的事情：Dogecoin本週一直在關鍵阻力水平上掙扎。 Meme硬幣目前的交易價格為0.1552美元，在過去24小時內下降了0.37％，在7天內下降了2.06％。

It attempted to break through the $0.16 resistance on Wednesday but failed, dipping as low as $0.151 before recovering slightly.

它試圖在周三打破0.16美元的阻力，但失敗了，在略微恢復之前下降到低至0.151美元。

However, some analysts believe the coin could see a significant upward movement after a potential short-term decline. A recent analysis from TradingView, shared by SwallowAcademy, suggests that Dogecoin could face a further decrease to hit an awaited entry and a new support zone, setting the stage for a fourfold rebound.

但是，一些分析人士認為，在潛在的短期下降後，硬幣可能會看到大量的向上運動。 SwallowAcademy共享的TradingView的最新分析表明，Dogecoin可能會進一步減少，以達到已久的入境和新的支持區，為四倍的籃板奠定了基礎。

The chart highlights DOGE’s price action against Tether (CRYPTO: USDT) on a daily timeframe, showcasing the cryptocurrency’s volatility throughout early 2024.

該圖表突出了Doge在每日時間範圍內針對Tether（Crypto：USDT）的價格行動，展示了整個2024年初加密貨幣的波動性。

It shows a sharp upward move early in 2024, with Dogecoin’s price rallying significantly from around $0.09 to reach a peak of nearly $0.23. Afterward, the coin experienced a substantial decline.

它顯示了2024年初的急劇向上移動，Dogecoin的價格從0.09美元左右大約達到了近0.23美元的高峰。此後，硬幣經歷了大幅下降。

Later in 2024, the price dropped again to around $0.09, where it encountered support before rebounding to over $0.45.

2024年晚些時候，價格再次下降至0.09美元左右，在反彈之前，它遇到了支撐，在回彈之前遇到了支持。

Now, SwallowAcademy predicts a similar pattern may unfold in 2025. The analyst believes Dogecoin could drop an additional 40% to the awaited entry at $0.09, forming the solid support zone again, before rebounding by fourfold. Specifically, the analyst suggests that after a 400% surge from the support level of $0.09, Dogecoin would rise to $0.45.

現在，SwallowAcademy預測，類似的模式可能會在2025年展開。分析師認為，Dogecoin可能會將期待的入場券降低40％，價格為0.09美元，再次形成了堅實的支撐區，然後以四倍的反彈。具體而言，分析師認為，在支撐水平為0.09美元的支持水平400％後，Dogecoin將上漲至0.45美元。

For now, Dogecoin is trading above $0.15, and the analyst is awaiting a dip to $0.09.

目前，Dogecoin的交易價格高於0.15美元，分析師正在等待下降到0.09美元。

See More: Top 50 Cryptocurrency Price Chart

查看更多：前50個加密貨幣價格圖表

False Break Signals Possible Reversal: Another pattern has caught the attention of traders. Trader Tardigrade highlighted Dogecoin’s first false break since December 2024.

錯誤的休息信號可能逆轉：另一種模式引起了交易者的注意。 Trader Tardigrade強調了Dogecoin自2024年12月以來的第一個虛假休息。

The coin has generally been following a downtrend, marked by lower highs and lower lows, a sign of a bearish market. However, after dropping to $0.13 on April 7, the price rebounded but failed to maintain the momentum and quickly dipped again.

硬幣通常一直遵循下降趨勢，標誌著低點和較低的低點，這是看跌市場的標誌。但是，在4月7日下跌至0.13美元之後，價格反彈，但未能保持勢頭並迅速下跌。

The analyst interprets it as a “false breakdown,” which could be a crucial signal that the downward trend may not last. According to the chart, this could be an early indicator of a bullish reversal.

分析師將其解釋為“虛假崩潰”，這可能是一個至關重要的信號，即向下趨勢可能不會持續。根據圖表，這可能是看漲逆轉的早期指標。

With the price remaining above the support line for several days, the false break suggests that Dogecoin may be gearing up for an upward move. According to Tardigrade, the next potential target could be $0.42.

由於價格剩餘幾天，因此錯誤的休息表明，Dogecoin可能正在為向上移動做好準備。根據Tardigrade的說法，下一個潛在目標可能為0.42美元。

Short-Term Pressure, Long-Term Strength: In addition to the technical chart patterns, data from IntoTheBlock reveals interesting insights into Dogecoin’s user activity.

短期壓力，長期強度：除了技術圖表模式外，intotheblock的數據還揭示了對Dogecoin用戶活動的有趣見解。

The data may indicate that Dogecoin could face short-term pressure due to shifting activity among different holder categories. Over the past month, the number of long-term holders (those holding for one year or more) decreased by 2.67%, and cruisers—those holding between one and twelve months—declined by 11.81%.

數據可能表明，由於不同持有人類別之間的活動轉移，狗狗幣可能面臨短期壓力。在過去的一個月中，長期持有人的數量（一年或更長時間的持有人的數量）減少了2.67％，而巡洋艦（持有人數為一個和十二個月）的數量減少了11.81％。

In contrast, short-term traders, holding for less than a month, saw an increase of 107.45%. This trend suggests growing speculative interest, which may contribute to near-term volatility and price fluctuations.

相比之下，短期交易者持有不到一個月的時間，增加了107.45％。這種趨勢表明，投機性的興趣日益增加，這可能導致近期波動和價格波動。

However, the long-term outlook appears more favorable based on the behavior of large holders.

但是，根據大型持有人的行為，長期前景似乎更有利。

Further data highlights a consistent and steep rise in large holder inflows. Over the last seven days, these inflows rose by 5.33%, followed by a substantial 323.86% increase over the last 30 days. Most notably, they experienced a remarkable 3,722% surge over the last 90 days.

進一步的數據突出了大量持有人流入的一致而陡峭的上升。在過去的七天中，這些流入增長了5.33％，隨後在過去30天中增長了323.86％。最值得注意的是，在過去的90天中，他們經歷了3,722％的增長。