Market watcher has argued that Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) could drop another 40% to reach a strong support level before a potential 400% surge.

市场观察者认为，在潜在的400％激增之前，Dogecoin（Crypto：Doge）可能会再下降40％以达到强大的支持水平。

What Happened: Dogecoin has been struggling at key resistance levels this week. The meme coin is currently trading at $0.1552, showing a 0.37% decrease over the last 24 hours and 2.06% in seven days.

发生的事情：Dogecoin本周一直在关键阻力水平上挣扎。 Meme硬币目前的交易价格为0.1552美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.37％，在7天内下降了2.06％。

It attempted to break through the $0.16 resistance on Wednesday but failed, dipping as low as $0.151 before recovering slightly.

它试图在周三打破0.16美元的阻力，但失败了，在略微恢复之前下降到低至0.151美元。

However, some analysts believe the coin could see a significant upward movement after a potential short-term decline. A recent analysis from TradingView, shared by SwallowAcademy, suggests that Dogecoin could face a further decrease to hit an awaited entry and a new support zone, setting the stage for a fourfold rebound.

但是，一些分析人士认为，在潜在的短期下降后，硬币可能会看到大量的向上运动。 SwallowAcademy共享的TradingView的最新分析表明，Dogecoin可能会进一步减少，以达到已久的入境和新的支持区，为四倍的篮板奠定了基础。

The chart highlights DOGE’s price action against Tether (CRYPTO: USDT) on a daily timeframe, showcasing the cryptocurrency’s volatility throughout early 2024.

该图表突出了Doge在每日时间范围内针对Tether（Crypto：USDT）的价格行动，展示了整个2024年初加密货币的波动性。

It shows a sharp upward move early in 2024, with Dogecoin’s price rallying significantly from around $0.09 to reach a peak of nearly $0.23. Afterward, the coin experienced a substantial decline.

它显示了2024年初的急剧向上移动，Dogecoin的价格从0.09美元左右大约达到了近0.23美元的高峰。此后，硬币经历了大幅下降。

Later in 2024, the price dropped again to around $0.09, where it encountered support before rebounding to over $0.45.

2024年晚些时候，价格再次下降至0.09美元左右，在反弹之前，它遇到了支撑，在回弹之前遇到了支持。

Now, SwallowAcademy predicts a similar pattern may unfold in 2025. The analyst believes Dogecoin could drop an additional 40% to the awaited entry at $0.09, forming the solid support zone again, before rebounding by fourfold. Specifically, the analyst suggests that after a 400% surge from the support level of $0.09, Dogecoin would rise to $0.45.

现在，SwallowAcademy预测，类似的模式可能会在2025年展开。分析师认为，Dogecoin可能会将期待的入场券降低40％，价格为0.09美元，再次形成了坚实的支撑区，然后以四倍的反弹。具体而言，分析师认为，在支撑水平为0.09美元的支持水平400％后，Dogecoin将上涨至0.45美元。

For now, Dogecoin is trading above $0.15, and the analyst is awaiting a dip to $0.09.

目前，Dogecoin的交易价格高于0.15美元，分析师正在等待下降到0.09美元。

See More: Top 50 Cryptocurrency Price Chart

查看更多：前50个加密货币价格图表

False Break Signals Possible Reversal: Another pattern has caught the attention of traders. Trader Tardigrade highlighted Dogecoin’s first false break since December 2024.

错误的休息信号可能逆转：另一种模式引起了交易者的注意。 Trader Tardigrade强调了Dogecoin自2024年12月以来的第一个虚假休息。

The coin has generally been following a downtrend, marked by lower highs and lower lows, a sign of a bearish market. However, after dropping to $0.13 on April 7, the price rebounded but failed to maintain the momentum and quickly dipped again.

硬币通常一直遵循下降趋势，标志着低点和较低的低点，这是看跌市场的标志。但是，在4月7日下跌至0.13美元之后，价格反弹，但未能保持势头并迅速下跌。

The analyst interprets it as a “false breakdown,” which could be a crucial signal that the downward trend may not last. According to the chart, this could be an early indicator of a bullish reversal.

分析师将其解释为“虚假崩溃”，这可能是一个至关重要的信号，即向下趋势可能不会持续。根据图表，这可能是看涨逆转的早期指标。

With the price remaining above the support line for several days, the false break suggests that Dogecoin may be gearing up for an upward move. According to Tardigrade, the next potential target could be $0.42.

由于价格剩余几天，因此错误的休息表明，Dogecoin可能正在为向上移动做好准备。根据Tardigrade的说法，下一个潜在目标可能为0.42美元。

Short-Term Pressure, Long-Term Strength: In addition to the technical chart patterns, data from IntoTheBlock reveals interesting insights into Dogecoin’s user activity.

短期压力，长期强度：除了技术图表模式外，intotheblock的数据还揭示了对Dogecoin用户活动的有趣见解。

The data may indicate that Dogecoin could face short-term pressure due to shifting activity among different holder categories. Over the past month, the number of long-term holders (those holding for one year or more) decreased by 2.67%, and cruisers—those holding between one and twelve months—declined by 11.81%.

数据可能表明，由于不同持有人类别之间的活动转移，狗狗币可能面临短期压力。在过去的一个月中，长期持有人的数量（一年或更长时间的持有人的数量）减少了2.67％，而巡洋舰（持有人数为一个和十二个月）的数量减少了11.81％。

In contrast, short-term traders, holding for less than a month, saw an increase of 107.45%. This trend suggests growing speculative interest, which may contribute to near-term volatility and price fluctuations.

相比之下，短期交易者持有不到一个月的时间，增加了107.45％。这种趋势表明，投机性的兴趣日益增加，这可能导致近期波动和价格波动。

However, the long-term outlook appears more favorable based on the behavior of large holders.

但是，根据大型持有人的行为，长期前景似乎更有利。

Further data highlights a consistent and steep rise in large holder inflows. Over the last seven days, these inflows rose by 5.33%, followed by a substantial 323.86% increase over the last 30 days. Most notably, they experienced a remarkable 3,722% surge over the last 90 days.

进一步的数据突出了大量持有人流入的一致而陡峭的上升。在过去的七天中，这些流入增长了5.33％，随后在过去30天中增长了323.86％。最值得注意的是，在过去的90天中，他们经历了3,722％的增长。