Trader Tardigrade has identified a recurring rounded-bottom pattern on the Dogecoin 6-month chart, highlighting an accumulation phase ahead of a breakout.

Trader Tardigrade已在Dogecoin 6个月表上确定了一种经常出现的圆形图案，突出了突破之前的积累阶段。

Dogecoin’s price movements over the past week have showcased heightened volatility, with frequent swings between $0.210 and $0.235. As of today, Dogecoin (DOGE) is trading at $0.2296. While short-term price action remains active, technical analysts and on-chain metrics have shifted attention to larger macro trends forming on the charts.

在过去一周中，Dogecoin的价格变动显示了增强的波动性，经常波动在0.210美元至0.235美元之间。截至今天，Dogecoin（Doge）的交易价格为0.2296美元。尽管短期价格行动保持活跃，但技术分析师和链界指标已将注意力转移到图表上形成的较大宏观趋势上。

This Pattern Signals Third Accumulation Phase

该模式信号是第三累积阶段

According to Trader Tardigrade, a technical analyst on X, Dogecoin’s 6-month chart demonstrates a consistent pattern repeating over the years. The analyst has identified a recurring “rounded-bottom” or cup formation, which previously appeared ahead of major rallies.

X上的技术分析师Tardigrade表示，Dogecoin的6个月表表明了多年来重复的一致模式。这位分析师已经确定了一个经常出现的“圆形底部”或杯形，以前出现在主要集会前。

These cup-shaped patterns, marked by gradual accumulation phases, are visible three times on the chart, each followed by significant breakouts.

这些以逐渐积累阶段为标志的杯形图案在图表上可见三遍，随后是明显的突破。

The first instance occurred between 2014 and 2017. During this period, Dogecoin traded with low volatility before breaking out in mid-2017, rising from approximately $0.00011 to nearly $0.003. A similar pattern formed from 2018 to 2020. That consolidation phase ended with a breakout in late 2020, which drove prices to a peak above $0.6 in 2021.

第一次是在2014年至2017年之间。在此期间，Dogecoin在2017年中期爆发之前以低波动性交易，从大约0.00011美元上升到近0.003美元。从2018年到2020年形成的类似模式。该合并阶段在2020年底的突破中结束，该阶段在2021年的峰值上达到了高于0.6美元的峰值。

The chart now shows a third rounded structure forming between 2022 and 2025. If the historical trend persists, Tardigrade’s chart points to a potential breakout that could propel DOGE above the $6 mark. Dogecoin would surge approximately 2,513% from $0.2296 to $6.00.

该图表现在显示了2022年至2025年之间形成的第三个圆形结构。如果历史趋势持续存在，Tardigrade的图表指出了可能的突破，可能会使Doge超过6分。 Dogecoin将从$ 0.2296升至6.00美元，将大约2,513％升至2,513％。

Surge in Address Activity Reinforces Technical Setup

地址活动激增加强技术设置

Meanwhile, on-chain data from recent weeks supports the ongoing accumulation narrative. Specifically, Dogecoin New Addresses rose by 102.40% in the last seven days, while Active Addresses grew by 111.32%.

同时，最近几周的链链数据支持正在进行的积累叙事。具体来说，在过去的七天中，Dogecoin的新地址增长了102.40％，而Active地址则增长了111.32％。

Zero Balance Addresses also climbed by 155.50%. This uptick coincided with Dogecoin’s recent price gains, suggesting rising user engagement alongside technical accumulation.

零余额地址也攀升了155.50％。这次上升与Dogecoin最近的价格上涨相吻合，这表明用户参与以及技术积累。

Furthermore, the Ownership Concentration chart reveals changes in wallet segments over the last 30 days. Whale holdings increased slightly by 0.34%, and investor wallets decreased by 2.59%. Meanwhile, retail participation rose by 1.44%, indicating a minor shift in token distribution.

此外，所有权集中图揭示了过去30天的钱包细分市场的变化。鲸鱼持有量略有0.34％，投资者钱包下降了2.59％。同时，零售参与增长了1.44％，表明令牌分布发生了微小的变化。

Key Trendline and Reversal Structure Under Watch

关键趋势线和观察处的逆转结构

In parallel, technical analysis by Bitcoinsensus highlights an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forming on Dogecoin’s daily chart. The formation began in March 2025 at nearly $0.15, developed its head in April during a deeper price dip, and completed the right shoulder later in the month after rebounding above $0.165. The pattern’s neckline, which slopes downward, acted as a key resistance point.

同时，比特币的技术分析突出了Dogecoin每日图表上形成的逆头和肩膀图案。该地层于2025年3月开始，始于近0.15美元，在更深层次的价格下降期间，在4月份开发了头，并在篮板以上篮板高出0.165美元后的一个月晚些时候完成了右肩。图案的领口向下倾斜，充当了关键的阻力点。

According to Bitcoinsensus, DOGE broke above the neckline, potentially marking the start of a new bullish phase. However, the asset remains capped under a broader descending trendline active since late 2024.

根据比特币的说法，马诺在领口上方打破了领口，有可能标志着新的看涨阶段的开始。但是，自2024年底以来，资产仍然限制在更广泛的下降趋势线上。

This long-term resistance triggered rejections at $0.46 in December 2024 and again at $0.42 in January 2025, followed by a drop to $0.135. Per the analysis, Dogecoin is retesting this trendline. A breakout and confirmation above this level may direct price action toward the $0.42–$0.43 supply zone.

这种长期阻力引发了拒绝，2024年12月为0.46美元，在2025年1月再次为0.42美元，随后跌至0.135美元。根据分析，Dogecoin正在重新测试这种趋势线。超过此水平的突破和确认可能会将价格措施引导到0.42- $ 0.43的供应区。

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