Can Dogecoin Hit $1?

A technical analyst is charting a path for Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) that could see the meme-coin hit the $1.00 psychological price level in the new year.

What Happened: Maelius (@MaeliusCrypto) has published a fresh weekly chart of DOGE/USDT from Binance and—despite the meme-coin’s recent pull-back—sees the groundwork for a textbook Elliott-wave extension that could catapult prices toward the psychological $1.00 mark.

The chart tracks every weekly candle since early-2021 and puts the current market at $0.1843 after a four-week slide from the March high near $0.26. That decline has carried price straight back into a broad green “demand” band that now stretches roughly from $0.12 up to $0.17. The zone once acted as heavy overhead resistance during 2022-23; Maelius notes that, after last year’s breakout, it has switched polarity and is behaving as a base of demand.

Two moving averages frame the structure. The 50-week exponential average (EMA 50, blue) is curling higher and sits at about $0.205, while the 200-week EMA (red) is printed at $0.1415. Price is currently wedged between the two, a configuration that often precedes a decisive expansion in volatility. Notably, a rising red trend-line—drawn beneath successive higher lows since late-2023—now coincides almost exactly with the 200-week EMA, reinforcing the $0.15 area as technical support.

Maelius’ count assigns the March 2024 spike to $0.23 as the primary wave 1, and the subsequent retreat to the October 2024 low near $0.12 as the primary wave 2. From that inflection point the analyst sees the opening stages of a third wave unfolding, but—crucially—he marks a smaller-degree wave 1 of that larger wave 1 peaking just above $0.48 in early December last year, followed by the present pull-back that he labels the smaller-degree wave 2.

In other words, the chart shows a classic “1-2, 1-2” nesting: a big 1-2 at primary degree, immediately followed by a smaller 1-2 that kicks off the presumed third-of-third advance. Such a configuration is typically regarded by Elliott technicians as the most explosive setup in the entire impulse hierarchy because the next leg is the wave 3 of wave 3, a segment that can extend with the steepest slope and often delivers the bulk of a trend’s price appreciation.

A dashed projection ray extrapolates that third wave to the $1.10 region, before wave 4 is pencilled in as a shallow retrace to roughly $0.65 and wave 5 completes somewhere in the $1.50-$1.80 range. Maelius tempers the roadmap in his accompanying post, stating he is “not a fan of hard targets” but believes “this one goes towards $1 in the next impulse.”

See More: Best Cryptocurrency Scanners

This post was originally published on Benzinga and has been modified to reflect Chain's voice and style.