
A technical analyst is charting a path for Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) that could see the meme-coin hit the $1.00 psychological price level in the new year.
一位技術分析師正在繪製Dogecoin(加密:Doge)的途徑,該途徑可能會使Meme-Coin在新的一年中達到1.00美元的心理價格水平。
What Happened: Maelius (@MaeliusCrypto) has published a fresh weekly chart of DOGE/USDT from Binance and—despite the meme-coin’s recent pull-back—sees the groundwork for a textbook Elliott-wave extension that could catapult prices toward the psychological $1.00 mark.
發生的事情:Maelius(@MaeliusCrypto)已經出版了Binance的Doge/USDT的全新圖表,儘管Meme-Coin最近的撤回後背包,但它為教科書Elliott-Wave Extension提供了基礎,該延伸可能會彈出心理學$ 1.00的價格。
The chart tracks every weekly candle since early-2021 and puts the current market at $0.1843 after a four-week slide from the March high near $0.26. That decline has carried price straight back into a broad green “demand” band that now stretches roughly from $0.12 up to $0.17. The zone once acted as heavy overhead resistance during 2022-23; Maelius notes that, after last year’s breakout, it has switched polarity and is behaving as a base of demand.
該圖表自2021年初以來每週都會追踪每週的蠟燭,並在3月高點接近0.26美元的四周滑梯後,目前的市場為0.1843美元。這種下降將價格直接恢復到一個寬闊的綠色“需求”樂隊中,現在大約從0.12美元到0.17美元。該區域曾經在2022 - 23年期間充當沉重的高架阻力。 Maelius指出,在去年的突破之後,它已經改變了極性,並且表現為需求基礎。
Two moving averages frame the structure. The 50-week exponential average (EMA 50, blue) is curling higher and sits at about $0.205, while the 200-week EMA (red) is printed at $0.1415. Price is currently wedged between the two, a configuration that often precedes a decisive expansion in volatility. Notably, a rising red trend-line—drawn beneath successive higher lows since late-2023—now coincides almost exactly with the 200-week EMA, reinforcing the $0.15 area as technical support.
兩個移動平均值將結構框架。 50週的指數平均值(EMA 50,BLUE)捲曲更高,約為0.205美元,而200週EMA(紅色)的印刷為0.1415美元。當前價格是在兩者之間楔入的,這種配置通常是在波動性的決定性擴展之前的。值得注意的是,自2023年下半年以來,紅色趨勢線的連續下降幅度較高,現在幾乎與200週的EMA完全吻合,從而加強了0.15美元的技術支持。
Maelius’ count assigns the March 2024 spike to $0.23 as the primary wave 1, and the subsequent retreat to the October 2024 low near $0.12 as the primary wave 2. From that inflection point the analyst sees the opening stages of a third wave unfolding, but—crucially—he marks a smaller-degree wave 1 of that larger wave 1 peaking just above $0.48 in early December last year, followed by the present pull-back that he labels the smaller-degree wave 2.
Maelius' count assigns the March 2024 spike to $0.23 as the primary wave 1, and the subsequent retreat to the October 2024 low near $0.12 as the primary wave 2. From that inflection point the analyst sees the opening stages of a third wave unfolding, but—crucially—he marks a smaller-degree wave 1 of that larger wave 1 peaking just above $0.48 in early December last year, followed by the present pull-back that he標記較小的波浪2。
In other words, the chart shows a classic “1-2, 1-2” nesting: a big 1-2 at primary degree, immediately followed by a smaller 1-2 that kicks off the presumed third-of-third advance. Such a configuration is typically regarded by Elliott technicians as the most explosive setup in the entire impulse hierarchy because the next leg is the wave 3 of wave 3, a segment that can extend with the steepest slope and often delivers the bulk of a trend’s price appreciation.
換句話說,圖表顯示了經典的“ 1-2,1-2”嵌套:在小學學位上的1-2個大1-2,然後是較小的1-2,從而開始了預定的三分之一進步。這種配置通常被埃利奧特技術人員視為整個衝動層次結構中最具爆炸性的設置,因為下一條腿是波3的波3,這一部分可以以最陡峭的斜率擴展,並且通常會提供趨勢價格的大部分。
A dashed projection ray extrapolates that third wave to the $1.10 region, before wave 4 is pencilled in as a shallow retrace to roughly $0.65 and wave 5 completes somewhere in the $1.50-$1.80 range. Maelius tempers the roadmap in his accompanying post, stating he is “not a fan of hard targets” but believes “this one goes towards $1 in the next impulse.”
一條虛線的投影射線將第三波推到1.10美元的區域,然後在第4波之前以淺回頭折回到大約$ 0.65的淺曲,而波第5則在$ 1.50- $ 1.80的範圍內完成。 Maelius在隨附的帖子中的路線圖傾斜,說他“不是艱難的目標的粉絲”,但相信“這是在下一個衝動中朝著1美元的售價。”
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This post was originally published on Benzinga and has been modified to reflect Chain's voice and style.
這篇文章最初發表在Benzinga上,並經過修改以反映Chain的聲音和風格。
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