
A technical analyst is charting a path for Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) that could see the meme-coin hit the $1.00 psychological price level in the new year.
一位技术分析师正在绘制Dogecoin(加密:Doge)的途径,该途径可能会使Meme-Coin在新的一年中达到1.00美元的心理价格水平。
What Happened: Maelius (@MaeliusCrypto) has published a fresh weekly chart of DOGE/USDT from Binance and—despite the meme-coin’s recent pull-back—sees the groundwork for a textbook Elliott-wave extension that could catapult prices toward the psychological $1.00 mark.
发生的事情:Maelius(@MaeliusCrypto)已经出版了Binance的Doge/USDT的全新图表,尽管Meme-Coin最近的撤回后背包,但它为教科书Elliott-Wave Extension提供了基础,该延伸可能会弹出心理学$ 1.00的价格。
The chart tracks every weekly candle since early-2021 and puts the current market at $0.1843 after a four-week slide from the March high near $0.26. That decline has carried price straight back into a broad green “demand” band that now stretches roughly from $0.12 up to $0.17. The zone once acted as heavy overhead resistance during 2022-23; Maelius notes that, after last year’s breakout, it has switched polarity and is behaving as a base of demand.
该图表自2021年初以来每周都会追踪每周的蜡烛,并在3月高点接近0.26美元的四周滑梯后,目前的市场为0.1843美元。这种下降将价格直接恢复到一个宽阔的绿色“需求”乐队中,现在大约从0.12美元到0.17美元。该区域曾经在2022 - 23年期间充当沉重的高架阻力。 Maelius指出,在去年的突破之后,它已经改变了极性,并且表现为需求基础。
Two moving averages frame the structure. The 50-week exponential average (EMA 50, blue) is curling higher and sits at about $0.205, while the 200-week EMA (red) is printed at $0.1415. Price is currently wedged between the two, a configuration that often precedes a decisive expansion in volatility. Notably, a rising red trend-line—drawn beneath successive higher lows since late-2023—now coincides almost exactly with the 200-week EMA, reinforcing the $0.15 area as technical support.
两个移动平均值将结构框架。 50周的指数平均值(EMA 50,BLUE)卷曲更高,约为0.205美元,而200周EMA(红色)的印刷为0.1415美元。当前价格是在两者之间楔入的,这种配置通常是在波动性的决定性扩展之前的。值得注意的是,自2023年下半年以来,红色趋势线的连续下降幅度较高,现在几乎与200周的EMA完全吻合,从而加强了0.15美元的技术支持。
Maelius’ count assigns the March 2024 spike to $0.23 as the primary wave 1, and the subsequent retreat to the October 2024 low near $0.12 as the primary wave 2. From that inflection point the analyst sees the opening stages of a third wave unfolding, but—crucially—he marks a smaller-degree wave 1 of that larger wave 1 peaking just above $0.48 in early December last year, followed by the present pull-back that he labels the smaller-degree wave 2.
Maelius' count assigns the March 2024 spike to $0.23 as the primary wave 1, and the subsequent retreat to the October 2024 low near $0.12 as the primary wave 2. From that inflection point the analyst sees the opening stages of a third wave unfolding, but—crucially—he marks a smaller-degree wave 1 of that larger wave 1 peaking just above $0.48 in early December last year, followed by the present pull-back that he标记较小的波浪2。
In other words, the chart shows a classic “1-2, 1-2” nesting: a big 1-2 at primary degree, immediately followed by a smaller 1-2 that kicks off the presumed third-of-third advance. Such a configuration is typically regarded by Elliott technicians as the most explosive setup in the entire impulse hierarchy because the next leg is the wave 3 of wave 3, a segment that can extend with the steepest slope and often delivers the bulk of a trend’s price appreciation.
换句话说,图表显示了经典的“ 1-2,1-2”嵌套:在小学学位上的1-2个大1-2,然后是较小的1-2,从而开始了预定的三分之一进步。这种配置通常被埃利奥特技术人员视为整个冲动层次结构中最具爆炸性的设置,因为下一条腿是波3的波3,这一部分可以以最陡峭的斜率扩展,并且通常会提供趋势价格的大部分。
A dashed projection ray extrapolates that third wave to the $1.10 region, before wave 4 is pencilled in as a shallow retrace to roughly $0.65 and wave 5 completes somewhere in the $1.50-$1.80 range. Maelius tempers the roadmap in his accompanying post, stating he is “not a fan of hard targets” but believes “this one goes towards $1 in the next impulse.”
一条虚线的投影射线将第三波推到1.10美元的区域,然后在第4波之前以浅回头折回到大约$ 0.65的浅曲,而波第5则在$ 1.50- $ 1.80的范围内完成。 Maelius在随附的帖子中的路线图倾斜,说他“不是艰难的目标的粉丝”,但相信“这是在下一个冲动中朝着1美元的售价。”
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This post was originally published on Benzinga and has been modified to reflect Chain's voice and style.
这篇文章最初发表在Benzinga上,并经过修改以反映Chain的声音和风格。
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