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解密的藝術，時尚和娛樂樞紐

The rise of prediction markets has given crypto participants a wide array of opportunities to test their knowledge of markets, politics, pop culture, and more.

預測市場的興起為加密參與者提供了各種各樣的機會來測試他們對市場，政治，流行文化等的知識。

SInce launching in late 2021, crypto-focused prediction market Myriad has become one of the most popular options for engaged users to follow or wager on a real-time, community-sourced indicator of an event’s likelihood, potentially cashing in on their knowledge in the process.

自2021年下半年推出以來，以加密貨幣為中心的預測市場已成為最受歡迎的選擇，敬業的用戶可以實時的，社區源代碼的指標，表明事件的可能性，可能會兌現他們在此過程中的知識。

By using a prediction market like Myriad, users can follow or wager on a real-time, community-sourced indicator of an event’s likelihood, potentially cashing in on their knowledge in the process.

通過使用無數的預測市場，用戶可以按照實時的，社區的指標來關注或下注，以表明事件的可能性，並有可能在此過程中賺錢。

What’s popping on Myriad this week? Here’s a look at some of the most interesting, active, and newsworthy markets right now, including current odds and helpful context.

本周無數彈出了什麼？這是目前目前最有趣，最活躍和新聞價值的市場，包括當前的賠率和有用的環境。

Dogecoin Price Above $0.19 on Saturday, May 10 at 11:59pm UTC

5月10日（星期六）晚上11:59 UTC的Dogecoin價格高於0.19美元

Market Open: May 8 Market Closes: May 10 Volume: $4.1K

市場開放：5月8日市場關閉：5月10日卷：$ 4.1K

A flash market on Myriad is asking predictors whether or not they think the price of Dogecoin (DOGE) will be above $0.19 around 8pm ET on Saturday. At the time of writing, predictors give it a 52% chance as crypto prices rise across the board, with Bitcoin reclaiming $100,000 on Thursday for the first time since February.

無數的閃光市場正在詢問預測者，他們認為Dogecoin（Doge）的價格在周六晚上8點左右在0.19美元以上。在撰寫本文時，隨著加密貨幣價格全面上漲，預測變量給了52％的機會，比特幣自2月以來首次收回了100,000美元。

DOGE, the leading meme coin, has jumped 11.6% to $0.191 during the last 24 hours, moving it above on the market line in the process. Its performance is similar to the rest of the meme coin category, which is up 13% over the same timeframe.

領先的模因硬幣Doge在過去24小時內已上漲11.6％至0.191美元，在此過程中將其移至市場線上。它的性能類似於Meme Coin類別的其餘部分，該類別比同一時間範圍增長了13％。

Will Bitcoin’s strength propel the rest of the risk market? Or is rising Bitcoin dominance, which just hit a four-year high in the last week, set to continue grinding higher as major players and U.S. states seek access to the top crypto asset?

比特幣的實力會推動其餘的風險市場嗎？還是在上周剛剛達到四年高的比特幣優勢，隨著主要參與者和美國州尋求獲得頂級加密資產的機會，它將繼續磨合更高？

As of Thursday morning, notable macro trader Raoul Pal thinks otherwise.

截至週四早上，著名的宏觀交易者拉爾·帕爾（Raoul Pal）認為。

“I think BTC dominance topped today,” Pal posted on X (formerly Twitter). “If that plays out, it is the hallmark of the next phase of the Banana Zone,” he added, dropping a term created to represent a sharp, parabolic rise in prices which represents a banana on trading charts.

“我認為BTC的統治地位今天最高，” PAL在X（以前是Twitter）上發布。他補充說：“如果這樣做的話，那是香蕉區下一階段的標誌。”他放棄了一個術語，以代表價格急劇上升的價格上漲，代表了交易圖表上的香蕉。

Could DOGE be a beneficiary if that’s the case?

如果是這樣，Doge可以成為受益人嗎？

The dog-themed token was most recently closed above $0.19 on April 25 and dipped as low as $0.165 earlier this week before its nearly major jump in the last 24 hours.

以狗為主題的代幣最近在4月25日以上收於0.19美元以上，本週早些時候下跌了0.165美元，直到過去24小時內幾乎大幅增加。

What’s next: With FOMC out of the way, no major macro events are scheduled before this market closes. However, President Trump’s social posts are a wild card headed into the weekend.

接下來是什麼：隨著FOMC的發展，在該市場關閉之前，沒有計劃進行重大宏觀事件。但是，特朗普總統的社會帖子是通配符進入周末的一張。

Who Will Be the Next Pope? And a White Smoke Market Update

誰將成為下一個教皇？和白煙市場的更新

Market Open: April 21Market Close: May 8 Volume: $40K

市場開放：4月21日市場關閉：5月8日卷：$ 40K

Papal markets took a wild swing early Thursday afternoon when news began circulating that white smoke was billowing from the Sistine Chapel, a sign that a two-thirds majority was reached and a new pope was selected by secret ballot.

週四下午，教皇市場發生了一次狂野的搖擺，當時有消息開始流傳，即從西斯汀教堂（Sistine Chapel）滾滾而來，這表明達到三分之二的多數席位，並通過秘密投票選擇了新的教皇。

Ballots were cast in secret for the first time on Wednesday, but black smoke was emitted at that time, alerting spectators that no decision was made. Then again in early voting on Thursday, more black smoke.

投票是在星期三首次秘密投票，但當時發出了黑煙，提醒觀眾沒有做出決定。然後在周四早期投票中再次，更多的黑煙。

But before drawing to a close on Thursday, a decision was reached.

但是在周四結束之前，做出了決定。

This also resolved Myriad’s “white smoke in first two days” market, which had fallen to 28% in favor of “yes” a mere hour before the resolution was met.

這也解決了無數的“頭兩天的白煙”市場，該市場跌至28％，而在達成決議前僅在一個小時之前就支持“是”。

Even with white smoke, spectators and predictors were forced to wait prior to the formal announcement.

即使有白煙，觀眾和預測者也被迫在正式宣布之前等待。

Early on Thursday morning, odds in Myriad’s “Next Pope” market were split between the two named candidates, led by Pietro Parolin around 27% and 23% for Luis Antonio Tagle, leaving around 50% for “other.”

在星期四清晨，眾多的“下一個教皇”市場的賠率在兩個名叫候選人的候選人之間被分配，彼得羅·帕羅林（Pietro Parolin）領導的路易斯·安東尼奧·塔格爾（Luis Antonio Tagle）約為27％和23％，剩下的50％左右為“其他”。

Those odds nearly mirrored Polymarket’s market of the same kind, which had Parolin at 28% odds alongside Luis Antonio Tagle’s 23%. Tagle had fallen below 20% odds on Myriad late on Wednesday, but rebounded to 22% on Thursday morning.

這些賠率幾乎反映了Polymarket的同類市場，與路易斯·安東尼奧·塔格爾（Luis Antonio Tagle）的23％相同，帕洛林（Parolin）的賠率為28％。塔格爾（Tagle）在周三晚些時候的千分之遙低於20％，但在周四早上反彈至22％。

Yet, after the white smoke, odds shifted dramatically early Thursday afternoon, sending Parolin up to 67% while simultaneously dropping “other” and Tagle to 17% and 15%, respectively.

然而，在白煙之後，週四下午的賠率急劇轉移，帕洛林高達67％，同時降低“其他”，分別降至17％和15％。

But there was still one final turn. It wasn’t Parolin or Tagle that emerged from the central window

但是仍然有最後一回合。從中央窗口出現的不是parolin或tagle