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The rise of prediction markets has given crypto participants a wide array of opportunities to test their knowledge of markets, politics, pop culture, and more.

预测市场的兴起为加密参与者提供了各种各样的机会来测试他们对市场，政治，流行文化等的知识。

SInce launching in late 2021, crypto-focused prediction market Myriad has become one of the most popular options for engaged users to follow or wager on a real-time, community-sourced indicator of an event’s likelihood, potentially cashing in on their knowledge in the process.

自2021年下半年推出以来，以加密货币为中心的预测市场已成为最受欢迎的选择，敬业的用户可以实时的，社区源代码的指标，表明事件的可能性，可能会兑现他们在此过程中的知识。

By using a prediction market like Myriad, users can follow or wager on a real-time, community-sourced indicator of an event’s likelihood, potentially cashing in on their knowledge in the process.

通过使用无数的预测市场，用户可以按照实时的，社区的指标来关注或下注，以表明事件的可能性，并有可能在此过程中赚钱。

What’s popping on Myriad this week? Here’s a look at some of the most interesting, active, and newsworthy markets right now, including current odds and helpful context.

本周无数弹出了什么？这是目前目前最有趣，最活跃和新闻价值的市场，包括当前的赔率和有用的环境。

Dogecoin Price Above $0.19 on Saturday, May 10 at 11:59pm UTC

5月10日（星期六）晚上11:59 UTC的Dogecoin价格高于0.19美元

Market Open: May 8 Market Closes: May 10 Volume: $4.1K

市场开放：5月8日市场关闭：5月10日卷：$ 4.1K

A flash market on Myriad is asking predictors whether or not they think the price of Dogecoin (DOGE) will be above $0.19 around 8pm ET on Saturday. At the time of writing, predictors give it a 52% chance as crypto prices rise across the board, with Bitcoin reclaiming $100,000 on Thursday for the first time since February.

无数的闪光市场正在询问预测者，他们认为Dogecoin（Doge）的价格在周六晚上8点左右在0.19美元以上。在撰写本文时，随着加密货币价格全面上涨，预测变量给了52％的机会，比特币自2月以来首次收回了100,000美元。

DOGE, the leading meme coin, has jumped 11.6% to $0.191 during the last 24 hours, moving it above on the market line in the process. Its performance is similar to the rest of the meme coin category, which is up 13% over the same timeframe.

领先的模因硬币Doge在过去24小时内已上涨11.6％至0.191美元，在此过程中将其移至市场线上。它的性能类似于Meme Coin类别的其余部分，该类别比同一时间范围增长了13％。

Will Bitcoin’s strength propel the rest of the risk market? Or is rising Bitcoin dominance, which just hit a four-year high in the last week, set to continue grinding higher as major players and U.S. states seek access to the top crypto asset?

比特币的实力会推动其余的风险市场吗？还是在上周刚刚达到四年高的比特币优势，随着主要参与者和美国州寻求获得顶级加密资产的机会，它将继续磨合更高？

As of Thursday morning, notable macro trader Raoul Pal thinks otherwise.

截至周四早上，著名的宏观交易者拉尔·帕尔（Raoul Pal）认为。

“I think BTC dominance topped today,” Pal posted on X (formerly Twitter). “If that plays out, it is the hallmark of the next phase of the Banana Zone,” he added, dropping a term created to represent a sharp, parabolic rise in prices which represents a banana on trading charts.

“我认为BTC的统治地位今天最高，” PAL在X（以前是Twitter）上发布。他补充说：“如果这样做的话，那是香蕉区下一阶段的标志。”他放弃了一个术语，以代表价格急剧上升的价格上涨，代表了交易图表上的香蕉。

Could DOGE be a beneficiary if that’s the case?

如果是这样，Doge可以成为受益人吗？

The dog-themed token was most recently closed above $0.19 on April 25 and dipped as low as $0.165 earlier this week before its nearly major jump in the last 24 hours.

以狗为主题的代币最近在4月25日以上收于0.19美元以上，本周早些时候下跌了0.165美元，直到过去24小时内几乎大幅增加。

What’s next: With FOMC out of the way, no major macro events are scheduled before this market closes. However, President Trump’s social posts are a wild card headed into the weekend.

接下来是什么：随着FOMC的发展，在该市场关闭之前，没有计划进行重大宏观事件。但是，特朗普总统的社会帖子是通配符进入周末的一张。

Who Will Be the Next Pope? And a White Smoke Market Update

谁将成为下一个教皇？和白烟市场的更新

Market Open: April 21Market Close: May 8 Volume: $40K

市场开放：4月21日市场关闭：5月8日卷：$ 40K

Papal markets took a wild swing early Thursday afternoon when news began circulating that white smoke was billowing from the Sistine Chapel, a sign that a two-thirds majority was reached and a new pope was selected by secret ballot.

周四下午，教皇市场发生了一次狂野的摇摆，当时有消息开始流传，即从西斯汀教堂（Sistine Chapel）滚滚而来，这表明达到三分之二的多数席位，并通过秘密投票选择了新的教皇。

Ballots were cast in secret for the first time on Wednesday, but black smoke was emitted at that time, alerting spectators that no decision was made. Then again in early voting on Thursday, more black smoke.

投票是在星期三首次秘密投票，但当时发出了黑烟，提醒观众没有做出决定。然后在周四早期投票中再次，更多的黑烟。

But before drawing to a close on Thursday, a decision was reached.

但是在周四结束之前，做出了决定。

This also resolved Myriad’s “white smoke in first two days” market, which had fallen to 28% in favor of “yes” a mere hour before the resolution was met.

这也解决了无数的“头两天的白烟”市场，该市场跌至28％，而在达成决议前仅在一个小时之前就支持“是”。

Even with white smoke, spectators and predictors were forced to wait prior to the formal announcement.

即使有白烟，观众和预测者也被迫在正式宣布之前等待。

Early on Thursday morning, odds in Myriad’s “Next Pope” market were split between the two named candidates, led by Pietro Parolin around 27% and 23% for Luis Antonio Tagle, leaving around 50% for “other.”

在星期四清晨，众多的“下一个教皇”市场的赔率在两个名叫候选人的候选人之间被分配，彼得罗·帕罗林（Pietro Parolin）领导的路易斯·安东尼奥·塔格尔（Luis Antonio Tagle）约为27％和23％，剩下的50％左右为“其他”。

Those odds nearly mirrored Polymarket’s market of the same kind, which had Parolin at 28% odds alongside Luis Antonio Tagle’s 23%. Tagle had fallen below 20% odds on Myriad late on Wednesday, but rebounded to 22% on Thursday morning.

这些赔率几乎反映了Polymarket的同类市场，与路易斯·安东尼奥·塔格尔（Luis Antonio Tagle）的23％相同，帕洛林（Parolin）的赔率为28％。塔格尔（Tagle）在周三晚些时候的千分之遥低于20％，但在周四早上反弹至22％。

Yet, after the white smoke, odds shifted dramatically early Thursday afternoon, sending Parolin up to 67% while simultaneously dropping “other” and Tagle to 17% and 15%, respectively.

然而，在白烟之后，周四下午的赔率急剧转移，帕洛林高达67％，同时降低“其他”，分别降至17％和15％。

But there was still one final turn. It wasn’t Parolin or Tagle that emerged from the central window

但是仍然有最后一回合。从中央窗口出现的不是parolin或tagle